League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 5 Oct 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
64 (41–81)
pos. ~1.9°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1478
|
▼14% | ||
|
63 (41–80)
pos. ~2.1°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1474
|
▲17% | ||
|
60 (39–82)
pos. ~2.6°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1484
|
▲3% | ||
|
50 (27–71)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1483
|
· | ||
|
45 (23–68)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1487
|
· | ||
|
48 (27–73)
pos. ~6.0°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1482
|
· | ||
|
41 (21–61)
pos. ~8.9°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1487
|
· | ||
|
45 (25–67)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
42 (19–65)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1481
|
· | ||
|
39 (18–64)
pos. ~9.9°
|
C11 · T11
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
44 (23–64)
pos. ~7.8°
|
C10 · T12
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
33 (15–55)
pos. ~11.8°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
30 (12–49)
pos. ~13.0°
|
C10 · T11
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
29 (11–51)
pos. ~13.3°
|
C9 · T12
ELO 1488
|
· | ||
|
21 (5–42)
pos. ~15.2°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1484
|
· | ||
|
23 (4–43)
pos. ~14.8°
|
C11 · T10
ELO 1483
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Model & advanced data
Model calibration for this league▾
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 75.0% | +20.00% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 50.0% | -15.00% |
| 70–100%% | 3 | 85.00% | 33.3% | -51.70% |
Based on 13 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 2. SNL?
For 2. SNL, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 2. SNL?
Accuracy for 2. SNL is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 2. SNL using per-league historical data.
How are 2. SNL season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.