First League

Russia · Season 2026/27

2026/27 2025/26

Matchday 12 of 34 35%

League Table

18 Teams

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF–GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Nizhny Novgorod — Champion	12	10	1	1	36–14	+22	31	V V V P V
2	Ural — Promotion	12	7	4	1	20–6	+14	25	V V P V P
3	Spartak Kostroma — Promotion Playoff	12	7	3	2	16–10	+6	24	S V V V V
4	FC Sochi — Promotion Playoff	12	7	2	3	21–14	+7	23	P V S V V
5	Veles	12	7	2	3	16–14	+2	23	P S P V V
6	Torpedo Moskva	12	6	3	3	21–9	+12	21	P P S V V
7	FC UFA	12	4	6	2	16–13	+3	18	P S P P V
8	Rotor Volgograd	12	5	2	5	20–14	+6	17	V V P S S
9	Shinnik Yaroslavl	12	3	7	2	15–13	+2	16	P S P P P
10	Enisey	12	3	5	4	15–20	-5	14	P V S S P
11	Arsenal Tula	12	3	4	5	12–22	-10	13	S P S P S
12	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10–20	-10	13	V S P V S
13	Chelyabinsk	12	3	3	6	13–19	-6	12	P V P S S
14	FK Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7–15	-8	12	S S V S V
15	Volga Ulyanovsk	12	3	2	7	14–18	-4	11	S S P V P
16	KAMAZ — Relegation	12	2	3	7	11–19	-8	9	V P S V S
17	Tekstilshchik — Relegation	12	1	4	7	8–19	-11	7	S P S S S
18	Ska-khabarovsk — Relegation	12	1	3	8	11–23	-12	6	P P P S S
1	Nizhny Novgorod — Champion	6	5	1	0	24–7	+17	16	V V V P V
2	Veles — Promotion	6	5	0	1	11–6	+5	15	V V V V S
3	FC UFA — Promotion Playoff	7	3	4	0	11–5	+6	13	P V P P P
4	Ural — Promotion Playoff	5	4	0	1	10–1	+9	12	S V V V V
5	Spartak Kostroma	6	3	2	1	9–6	+3	11	P P V V S
6	Arsenal Tula	6	3	2	1	9–7	+2	11	S V V P P
7	Rotor Volgograd	5	3	1	1	10–3	+7	10	V V P S V
8	FC Sochi	6	3	1	2	9–5	+4	10	V V V S P
9	Leningradets	7	2	4	1	8–7	+1	10	P P S V P
10	Enisey	6	2	3	1	9–6	+3	9	P P P S V
11	Torpedo Moskva	6	2	2	2	10–7	+3	8	P S V S P
12	Shinnik Yaroslavl	7	1	5	1	9–8	+1	8	P P P S P
13	Chelyabinsk	6	2	1	3	7–10	-3	7	S S S V P
14	Volga Ulyanovsk	7	2	0	5	7–9	-2	6	S S V S S
15	Ska-khabarovsk	4	1	0	3	3–8	-5	3	S S V S
16	FK Neftekhimik — Relegation	6	1	0	5	2–7	-5	3	V S S S S
17	Tekstilshchik — Relegation	6	0	2	4	4–12	-8	2	P S S S S
18	KAMAZ — Relegation	6	0	1	5	5–11	-6	1	S S S S P
1	Nizhny Novgorod — Champion	6	5	0	1	12–7	+5	15	V V S V V
2	Torpedo Moskva — Promotion	6	4	1	1	11–2	+9	13	S V V V P
3	Ural — Promotion Playoff	7	3	4	0	10–5	+5	13	P P P V V
4	FC Sochi — Promotion Playoff	6	4	1	1	12–9	+3	13	S V V V V
5	Spartak Kostroma	6	4	1	1	7–4	+3	13	P V S V V
6	FK Neftekhimik	6	3	0	3	5–8	-3	9	S S V V S
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	5	2	2	1	6–5	+1	8	P S V V P
8	KAMAZ	6	2	2	2	6–8	-2	8	P P V S V
9	Veles	6	2	2	2	5–8	-3	8	S S V P P
10	Rotor Volgograd	7	2	1	4	10–11	-1	7	S S S P V
11	Volga Ulyanovsk	5	1	2	2	7–9	-2	5	S V S P P
12	Chelyabinsk	6	1	2	3	6–9	-3	5	V S P S P
13	FC UFA	5	1	2	2	5–8	-3	5	P S P V S
14	Tekstilshchik	6	1	2	3	4–7	-3	5	S P V S P
15	Enisey	6	1	2	3	6–14	-8	5	S P S S P
16	Ska-khabarovsk — Relegation	8	0	3	5	8–15	-7	3	S S P P P
17	Leningradets — Relegation	5	1	0	4	2–13	-11	3	S S S S V
18	Arsenal Tula — Relegation	6	0	2	4	3–15	-12	2	P P S S S

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 28 Sep 2026

Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

Team	Projected Pts	Schedule	Trend
Nizhny Novgorod	78 (57–95) pos. ~1.2°	C11 · T11 ELO 1500	▲1%
Ural	68 (47–87) pos. ~2.7°	C11 · T11 ELO 1497	▼1%
Spartak Kostroma	59 (37–79) pos. ~4.9°	C11 · T11 ELO 1499	▲0%
FC Sochi	59 (36–82) pos. ~5.1°	C11 · T11 ELO 1502	▲1%
Veles	56 (30–78) pos. ~6.1°	C11 · T11 ELO 1502	▼0%
Torpedo Moskva	65 (42–82) pos. ~3.4°	C11 · T11 ELO 1492	▼0%
FC UFA	47 (27–70) pos. ~8.8°	C10 · T12 ELO 1504	▲0%
Rotor Volgograd	55 (31–76) pos. ~6.5°	C12 · T10 ELO 1496	▼1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl	51 (30–73) pos. ~7.5°	C11 · T11 ELO 1497	·
Enisey	39 (21–61) pos. ~12.1°	C11 · T11 ELO 1501	▲1%
Arsenal Tula	35 (17–55) pos. ~13.6°	C11 · T11 ELO 1505	▲1%
Leningradets	35 (18–61) pos. ~13.5°	C11 · T11 ELO 1506	▲1%
Chelyabinsk	36 (17–57) pos. ~13.2°	C11 · T11 ELO 1499	▲2%
FK Neftekhimik	35 (17–55) pos. ~13.8°	C11 · T11 ELO 1497	▲2%
Volga Ulyanovsk	37 (17–60) pos. ~12.6°	C10 · T12 ELO 1503	▲1%
KAMAZ	34 (16–57) pos. ~13.8°	C11 · T11 ELO 1498	▲2%
Tekstilshchik	27 (9–49) pos. ~16.7°	C11 · T11 ELO 1497	▲3%
Ska-khabarovsk	30 (11–53) pos. ~15.6°	C12 · T10 ELO 1493	▼12%

% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Upcoming matches

Recent results

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league▾

Probability band	Sample	Expected (mid)	Actual	Δ
50–60%%	6	55.00%	66.7%	+11.70%
60–70%%	4	65.00%	25.0%	-40.00%

Based on 11 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration

Frequently Asked Questions

What predictions are available for First League?

For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.

How accurate are predictions for First League?

Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.

How are First League season projections calculated?

Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.