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First League

First League

Russia  · Season 2026/27
2026/27 2025/26
Matchday 5 of 34 15%

League Table

18 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Nizhny Novgorod — Champion 5 5 0 0 16–5 +11 15
V V V V V
2 Veles — Promotion 5 4 0 1 7–6 +1 12
V V S V V
3 Spartak Kostroma — Promotion Playoff 5 3 2 0 10–4 +6 11
V P P V V
4 Ural — Promotion Playoff 5 3 1 1 9–1 +8 10
V V P V S
5 Rotor Volgograd 5 3 0 2 10–7 +3 9
V S V V S
6 Enisey 5 2 2 1 8–7 +1 8
P P V S V
7 FC UFA 5 2 2 1 7–6 +1 8
S P V P V
8 FC Sochi 5 2 1 2 10–7 +3 7
V S V S P
9 Torpedo Moskva 5 2 1 2 6–5 +1 7
S S P V V
10 Arsenal Tula 5 2 1 2 5–9 -4 7
P V S S V
11 Chelyabinsk 5 2 0 3 7–8 -1 6
S V S S V
12 Shinnik Yaroslavl 5 1 3 1 7–8 -1 6
P S P V P
13 Volga Ulyanovsk 5 2 0 3 6–8 -2 6
V S V S S
14 FK Neftekhimik 5 2 0 3 3–8 -5 6
S V S V S
15 Leningradets 5 1 1 3 3–8 -5 4
S V P S S
16 Tekstilshchik — Relegation 5 0 3 2 3–5 -2 3
P S P P S
17 KAMAZ — Relegation 5 0 1 4 4–10 -6 1
S P S S S
18 Ska-khabarovsk — Relegation 5 0 0 5 2–11 -9 0
S S S S S
1 Nizhny Novgorod — Champion 3 3 0 0 12–3 +9 9
V V V
2 Veles — Promotion 3 3 0 0 5–2 +3 9
V V V
3 FC UFA — Promotion Playoff 3 2 1 0 5–1 +4 7
V V P
4 Ural — Promotion Playoff 3 2 0 1 6–1 +5 6
S V V
5 Rotor Volgograd 2 2 0 0 5–1 +4 6
V V
6 Arsenal Tula 3 2 0 1 3–2 +1 6
V S V
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 3 1 2 0 6–4 +2 5
P V P
8 Enisey 2 1 1 0 4–1 +3 4
V P
9 Spartak Kostroma 2 1 1 0 5–3 +2 4
V P
10 Torpedo Moskva 3 1 1 1 5–4 +1 4
V P S
11 Leningradets 2 1 1 0 2–1 +1 4
P V
12 FC Sochi 2 1 0 1 5–2 +3 3
S V
13 Chelyabinsk 2 1 0 1 4–3 +1 3
V S
14 FK Neftekhimik 2 1 0 1 1–1 +0 3
S V
15 Volga Ulyanovsk 3 1 0 2 3–4 -1 3
S V S
16 Tekstilshchik — Relegation 2 0 2 0 2–2 +0 2
P P
17 KAMAZ — Relegation 3 0 0 3 2–6 -4 0
S S S
18 Ska-khabarovsk — Relegation 2 0 0 2 1–6 -5 0
S S
1 Spartak Kostroma — Champion 3 2 1 0 5–1 +4 7
V P V
2 Nizhny Novgorod — Promotion 2 2 0 0 4–2 +2 6
V V
3 Ural — Promotion Playoff 2 1 1 0 3–0 +3 4
P V
4 FC Sochi — Promotion Playoff 3 1 1 1 5–5 +0 4
P S V
5 Enisey 3 1 1 1 4–6 -2 4
V S P
6 Torpedo Moskva 2 1 0 1 1–1 +0 3
V S
7 Rotor Volgograd 3 1 0 2 5–6 -1 3
S V S
8 Volga Ulyanovsk 2 1 0 1 3–4 -1 3
S V
9 Chelyabinsk 3 1 0 2 3–5 -2 3
S V S
10 Veles 2 1 0 1 2–4 -2 3
V S
11 FK Neftekhimik 3 1 0 2 2–7 -5 3
V S S
12 KAMAZ 2 0 1 1 2–4 -2 1
S P
13 Tekstilshchik 3 0 1 2 1–3 -2 1
S S P
14 FC UFA 2 0 1 1 2–5 -3 1
P S
15 Shinnik Yaroslavl 2 0 1 1 1–4 -3 1
P S
16 Arsenal Tula — Relegation 2 0 1 1 2–7 -5 1
S P
17 Ska-khabarovsk — Relegation 3 0 0 3 1–5 -4 0
S S S
18 Leningradets — Relegation 3 0 0 3 1–7 -6 0
S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 11 Aug 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Nizhny Novgorod
71 (45–96)
pos. ~1.5°
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
▲0%
Veles
54 (23–83)
pos. ~6.2°
C14 · T15
ELO 1495
▲0%
Spartak Kostroma
58 (29–87)
pos. ~4.6°
C15 · T14
ELO 1499
▲0%
Ural
61 (33–89)
pos. ~3.5°
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
▼0%
Rotor Volgograd
57 (31–82)
pos. ~5.1°
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
▼0%
Enisey
51 (24–77)
pos. ~7.5°
C15 · T14
ELO 1492
·
FC UFA
49 (22–79)
pos. ~8.7°
C14 · T15
ELO 1503
▼1%
FC Sochi
51 (26–76)
pos. ~7.7°
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
▼0%
Torpedo Moskva
51 (26–76)
pos. ~7.6°
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
▼0%
Arsenal Tula
40 (20–65)
pos. ~12.9°
C14 · T15
ELO 1500
▼1%
Chelyabinsk
45 (22–71)
pos. ~10.3°
C15 · T14
ELO 1499
▲0%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
47 (22–75)
pos. ~9.4°
C14 · T15
ELO 1497
▼0%
Volga Ulyanovsk
40 (18–68)
pos. ~12.9°
C14 · T15
ELO 1501
▲0%
FK Neftekhimik
38 (16–65)
pos. ~13.9°
C15 · T14
ELO 1500
▲0%
Leningradets
37 (14–61)
pos. ~14.1°
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
▲1%
Tekstilshchik
40 (14–65)
pos. ~12.9°
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
▲1%
KAMAZ
33 (10–58)
pos. ~15.4°
C14 · T15
ELO 1498
▲0%
Ska-khabarovsk
27 (4–53)
pos. ~17.0°
C15 · T14
ELO 1500
▼1%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First League?
For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First League?
Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.
How are First League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.