Matchday 5 of 34
15%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 11 Aug 2026
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
71 (45–96)
pos. ~1.5°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
|
▲0% | ||
|
54 (23–83)
pos. ~6.2°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1495
|
▲0% | ||
|
58 (29–87)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
|
61 (33–89)
pos. ~3.5°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
|
57 (31–82)
pos. ~5.1°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (24–77)
pos. ~7.5°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1492
|
· | ||
|
49 (22–79)
pos. ~8.7°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1503
|
▼1% | ||
|
51 (26–76)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
|
51 (26–76)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1496
|
▼0% | ||
|
40 (20–65)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1500
|
▼1% | ||
|
45 (22–71)
pos. ~10.3°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
|
47 (22–75)
pos. ~9.4°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1497
|
▼0% | ||
|
40 (18–68)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
|
38 (16–65)
pos. ~13.9°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1500
|
▲0% | ||
|
37 (14–61)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
|
▲1% | ||
|
40 (14–65)
pos. ~12.9°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1498
|
▲1% | ||
|
33 (10–58)
pos. ~15.4°
|
C14 · T15
ELO 1498
|
▲0% | ||
|
27 (4–53)
pos. ~17.0°
|
C15 · T14
ELO 1500
|
▼1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for First League?
For First League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for First League?
Accuracy for First League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for First League using per-league historical data.
How are First League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.