Matchday 6 of 22
27%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 28 Sep 2026
Champion
Champions League
Conference League
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
70 (43–91)
pos. ~1.7°
|
C15 · T12
ELO 1504
|
▼1% | ||
|
71 (48–91)
pos. ~1.6°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1496
|
▲1% | ||
|
60 (33–85)
pos. ~3.1°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1503
|
▼0% | ||
|
50 (23–74)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C12 · T15
ELO 1508
|
· | ||
|
49 (24–73)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1490
|
· | ||
|
48 (25–70)
pos. ~5.3°
|
C16 · T11
ELO 1510
|
· | ||
|
36 (13–60)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C11 · T16
ELO 1509
|
▼1% | ||
|
34 (12–57)
pos. ~9.1°
|
C12 · T15
ELO 1514
|
▼1% | ||
|
34 (11–58)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C16 · T11
ELO 1505
|
▼1% | ||
|
29 (8–56)
pos. ~10.5°
|
C15 · T12
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
|
33 (12–56)
pos. ~9.2°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1501
|
▲0% | ||
|
31 (12–58)
pos. ~9.8°
|
C13 · T14
ELO 1498
|
▲1% |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Premier League?
For Premier League, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Premier League?
Accuracy for Premier League is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Premier League using per-league historical data.
How are Premier League season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.