Matchday 3 of 30
10%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 13 Aug 2026
Promotion Playoff
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
24 (8–43)
pos. ~5.7°
|
C7 · T5
ELO 1498
|
▲0% | ||
|
25 (10–41)
pos. ~5.0°
|
C5 · T7
ELO 1498
|
▼0% | ||
|
27 (10–41)
pos. ~3.9°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1491
|
▼0% | ||
|
24 (8–42)
pos. ~5.8°
|
C5 · T7
ELO 1492
|
▼1% | ||
|
23 (8–42)
pos. ~6.8°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
|
22 (7–38)
pos. ~7.6°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1494
|
▼1% | ||
|
23 (8–39)
pos. ~6.9°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1503
|
▲0% | ||
|
22 (6–40)
pos. ~7.2°
|
C7 · T6
ELO 1500
|
▲1% | ||
|
22 (6–37)
pos. ~7.7°
|
C5 · T7
ELO 1493
|
▲0% | ||
|
21 (5–40)
pos. ~8.5°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1494
|
▲1% | ||
|
21 (5–37)
pos. ~8.8°
|
C7 · T5
ELO 1494
|
▼1% | ||
|
18 (4–34)
pos. ~10.9°
|
C7 · T5
ELO 1503
|
▲1% | ||
|
17 (3–35)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1494
|
▲0% | ||
|
17 (2–34)
pos. ~11.6°
|
C7 · T6
ELO 1495
|
▲0% | ||
|
13 (0–33)
pos. ~14.0°
|
C5 · T7
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
14 (0–31)
pos. ~13.9°
|
C6 · T6
ELO 1498
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Liga de Expansión MX?
For Liga de Expansión MX, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Liga de Expansión MX?
Accuracy for Liga de Expansión MX is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Liga de Expansión MX using per-league historical data.
How are Liga de Expansión MX season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.