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1. Division

1. Division

Norvegia  · Season 2026
52.50%
1X2 accuracy · 40 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 23 of 30 77%

League Table

16 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Haugesund — Champion 23 17 1 5 72–39 +33 52
V V V V V
2 Kongsvinger — Promotion 23 15 5 3 68–35 +33 50
V P V P V
3 Stromsgodset — Promotion Playoff 23 14 6 3 60–31 +29 48
V V P V V
4 Stabaek — Promotion Playoff 23 14 3 6 57–29 +28 45
V S S S V
5 ODD Ballklubb — Promotion Playoff 23 10 6 7 47–36 +11 36
V S P V S
6 Bryne — Promotion Playoff 23 11 2 10 32–31 +1 35
V V S S V
7 hodd 23 10 4 9 38–45 -7 34
S S P V S
8 Egersund 23 8 5 10 36–44 -8 29
S P P P S
9 Ranheim 23 8 4 11 56–58 -2 28
V P P S S
10 Lyn 23 8 4 11 39–48 -9 28
S V P P V
11 Moss 23 7 4 12 38–52 -14 25
V S V S P
12 Strommen 23 7 4 12 35–52 -17 25
S P V V V
13 Sandnes ULF 23 7 3 13 32–42 -10 24
S S P V S
14 Sogndal — Relegation Playoff 23 6 5 12 38–53 -15 23
S P S S P
15 Asane — Relegation 23 5 5 13 34–52 -18 20
S P P P S
16 Raufoss — Relegation 23 6 1 16 26–61 -35 19
S V S S S
1 Kongsvinger — Champion 12 9 2 1 45–21 +24 29
S V P V V
2 Haugesund — Promotion 11 9 1 1 35–13 +22 28
S V V V V
3 Stabaek — Promotion Playoff 11 9 0 2 33–14 +19 27
V V V S V
4 Stromsgodset — Promotion Playoff 11 8 2 1 30–13 +17 26
P P S V V
5 hodd — Promotion Playoff 11 7 1 3 21–18 +3 22
V V V V S
6 ODD Ballklubb — Promotion Playoff 12 6 3 3 26–13 +13 21
S V S P V
7 Egersund 12 6 3 3 19–16 +3 21
V V S P P
8 Ranheim 12 5 3 4 34–28 +6 18
S S S S P
9 Sogndal 11 5 2 4 23–20 +3 17
V S V S P
10 Bryne 11 5 2 4 17–16 +1 17
P S V S V
11 Asane 12 4 2 6 23–25 -2 14
P S S P S
12 Sandnes ULF 12 4 2 6 19–21 -2 14
S S S P S
13 Strommen 11 4 2 5 15–24 -9 14
V P S V V
14 Raufoss — Relegation Playoff 12 4 1 7 15–20 -5 13
S S S V S
15 Lyn — Relegation 12 4 1 7 20–30 -10 13
V V V P S
16 Moss — Relegation 11 2 4 5 17–24 -7 10
S P P S S
1 Haugesund — Champion 12 8 0 4 37–26 +11 24
V V S V V
2 Stromsgodset — Promotion 12 6 4 2 30–18 +12 22
V V V P V
3 Kongsvinger — Promotion Playoff 11 6 3 2 23–14 +9 21
S V V V P
4 Stabaek — Promotion Playoff 12 5 3 4 24–15 +9 18
V V V S S
5 Bryne — Promotion Playoff 12 6 0 6 15–15 +0 18
V V V S V
6 Lyn — Promotion Playoff 11 4 3 4 19–18 +1 15
P S V P V
7 ODD Ballklubb 11 4 3 4 21–23 -2 15
P P S V S
8 Moss 12 5 0 7 21–28 -7 15
S S S V V
9 hodd 12 3 3 6 17–27 -10 12
S V S P S
10 Strommen 12 3 2 7 20–28 -8 11
V S V P S
11 Ranheim 11 3 1 7 22–30 -8 10
S V S P V
12 Sandnes ULF 11 3 1 7 13–21 -8 10
P S S V S
13 Egersund 11 2 2 7 17–28 -11 8
P V S P S
14 Asane — Relegation Playoff 11 1 3 7 11–27 -16 6
S S V P P
15 Sogndal — Relegation 12 1 3 8 15–33 -18 6
S S P S S
16 Raufoss — Relegation 11 2 0 9 11–41 -30 6
S V S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 24 Sep 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Haugesund
67 (53–73)
pos. ~1.3°
C4 · T3
ELO 1501
▼1%
Kongsvinger
64 (51–71)
pos. ~2.3°
C3 · T4
ELO 1511
·
Stromsgodset
61 (49–69)
pos. ~2.7°
C4 · T3
ELO 1503
▲1%
Stabaek
57 (45–66)
pos. ~3.8°
C4 · T3
ELO 1511
▲0%
ODD Ballklubb
47 (36–57)
pos. ~5.8°
C3 · T4
ELO 1506
▲1%
Bryne
47 (36–56)
pos. ~5.9°
C4 · T3
ELO 1501
▲0%
hodd
43 (34–55)
pos. ~7.1°
C4 · T3
ELO 1510
▼1%
Egersund
38 (29–50)
pos. ~9.5°
C3 · T4
ELO 1501
·
Ranheim
39 (28–49)
pos. ~8.9°
C3 · T4
ELO 1500
·
Lyn
38 (28–49)
pos. ~9.6°
C3 · T4
ELO 1511
·
Moss
34 (25–46)
pos. ~11.5°
C4 · T3
ELO 1502
▼0%
Strommen
34 (25–46)
pos. ~11.5°
C4 · T3
ELO 1500
▲0%
Sandnes ULF
30 (24–42)
pos. ~13.4°
C3 · T4
ELO 1506
▲1%
Sogndal
32 (23–44)
pos. ~12.5°
C4 · T3
ELO 1500
▼1%
Asane
26 (20–38)
pos. ~14.8°
C3 · T4
ELO 1509
▼1%
Raufoss
23 (19–35)
pos. ~15.7°
C3 · T4
ELO 1501
▼0%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Player statistics

🟨 Yellow cards
1 Fábio Sturgeon
Fábio Sturgeon
Sogndal
1

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 11 55.00% 45.5% -9.50%
60–70%% 28 65.00% 53.6% -11.40%
70–100%% 11 85.00% 63.6% -21.40%
Based on 50 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Division?
For 1. Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Division?
Accuracy for 1. Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Division using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.