1. Division
Norvegia
· Season 2026
60.00%
1X2 accuracy · 10 predictions (3 months)
League Table + end of season projections
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | GD | Pts | Form | Projected Pts | Champion | Promotion | Promotion Playoff | Relegation Playoff | Relegation | Schedule |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stromsgodset | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 36–16 | +20 | 27 |
P
V
V
V
P
|
64 (44–81)
pos. ~1.5°
|
|
|
|
— | — |
C9
·
T9
ELO 1496
|
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29–16 | +13 | 27 |
P
V
V
S
V
|
58 (38–78)
pos. ~2.8°
|
|
|
|
— | — |
C9
·
T9
ELO 1498
|
| 3 | Haugesund | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 36–23 | +13 | 25 |
S
V
V
V
V
|
56 (36–74)
pos. ~3.2°
|
|
|
|
— | — |
C10
·
T8
ELO 1507
|
| 4 | ODD Ballklubb | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24–14 | +10 | 23 |
P
S
V
V
S
|
51 (29–71)
pos. ~4.8°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T10
ELO 1503
|
| 5 | Stabaek | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25–14 | +11 | 21 |
S
V
P
V
P
|
52 (29–71)
pos. ~4.3°
|
|
|
|
|
— |
C10
·
T8
ELO 1499
|
| 6 | Ranheim | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 32–26 | +6 | 20 |
V
S
P
V
S
|
46 (26–69)
pos. ~6.6°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T10
ELO 1500
|
| 7 | Moss | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 21–26 | -5 | 17 |
S
V
P
S
P
|
39 (21–62)
pos. ~9.5°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1496
|
| 8 | Sandnes ULF | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18–19 | -1 | 16 |
V
V
S
V
S
|
41 (21–60)
pos. ~8.8°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1504
|
| 9 | Egersund | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19–21 | -2 | 16 |
V
S
S
S
P
|
37 (19–59)
pos. ~10.5°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C8
·
T10
ELO 1497
|
| 10 | Bryne | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18–20 | -2 | 16 |
V
V
V
S
S
|
42 (24–64)
pos. ~8.3°
|
|
|
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1509
|
| 11 | hodd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14–15 | -1 | 15 |
P
S
S
V
S
|
40 (20–60)
pos. ~9.2°
|
— |
|
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1507
|
| 12 | Sogndal | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 20–29 | -9 | 12 |
S
S
V
S
P
|
36 (18–56)
pos. ~11.2°
|
— | — |
|
|
|
C10
·
T8
ELO 1510
|
| 13 | Raufoss | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16–28 | -12 | 10 |
V
S
S
S
V
|
31 (13–50)
pos. ~12.9°
|
— | — |
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1501
|
| 14 | Lyn | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10–24 | -14 | 10 |
S
S
S
V
P
|
26 (11–45)
pos. ~14.6°
|
— | — |
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1507
|
| 15 | Asane | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15–24 | -9 | 9 |
S
V
S
V
V
|
32 (12–52)
pos. ~12.6°
|
— | — |
|
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1501
|
| 16 | Strommen | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15–33 | -18 | 8 |
V
S
P
S
S
|
24 (9–45)
pos. ~15.1°
|
— | — | — |
|
|
C9
·
T9
ELO 1506
|
Champion
Promotion
Promotion Playoff
Relegation Playoff
Relegation
% = probability of reaching that zone or better ·
10,000 simulations ·
25 Jun 2026
Projection trend
Stromsgodset
69%
0%
Title
Kongsvinger
15%
0%
Title
Haugesund
11%
+0%
Title
ODD Ballklubb
9%
+0%
Promotion
Stabaek
3%
+0%
Title
Ranheim
53%
-1%
Playoff
Moss
11%
0%
Playoff
Sandnes ULF
18%
+0%
Playoff
Egersund
4%
+0%
Relegation
Bryne
24%
0%
Playoff
hodd
14%
+1%
Playoff
Sogndal
7%
-1%
Relegation
Raufoss
24%
-1%
Relegation
Lyn
64%
+1%
Relegation
Asane
19%
=
Relegation
Strommen
78%
+1%
Relegation
Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Model calibration for this league
| Probability band | Sample | Expected (mid) | Actual | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60%% | 4 | 55.00% | 50.0% | -5.00% |
| 60–70%% | 6 | 65.00% | 66.7% | +1.70% |
Based on 10 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Division?
For 1. Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Division?
Accuracy for 1. Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Division using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.