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1. Division

1. Division

Norvegia  · Season 2026
55.00%
1X2 accuracy · 20 predictions (3 months)
Matchday 17 of 30 57%

League Table

16 Teams
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form
1 Stabaek — Champion 17 11 3 3 44–19 +25 36
V V V V V
2 Haugesund — Promotion 16 11 1 4 48–31 +17 34
V S V V S
3 Kongsvinger — Promotion Playoff 16 10 3 3 43–25 +18 33
S V V S P
4 Stromsgodset — Promotion Playoff 16 9 5 2 44–23 +21 32
V P S P P
5 ODD Ballklubb — Promotion Playoff 16 8 4 4 31–20 +11 28
V P S P P
6 hodd — Promotion Playoff 16 7 3 6 24–26 -2 24
V S V V P
7 Egersund 16 7 2 7 29–28 +1 23
V P V S V
8 Ranheim 16 6 2 8 39–41 -2 20
S S S S V
9 Sandnes ULF 16 6 2 8 23–28 -5 20
S S P V V
10 Bryne 16 6 2 8 21–26 -5 20
S V P S V
11 Sogndal 16 5 3 8 30–41 -11 18
S V S V S
12 Moss 16 5 2 9 25–36 -11 17
S S S S S
13 Lyn 17 5 2 10 24–37 -13 17
S V P V S
14 Raufoss — Relegation Playoff 16 5 1 10 19–34 -15 16
S V V S V
15 Strommen — Relegation 16 4 3 9 21–37 -16 15
V P S V V
16 Asane — Relegation 16 4 2 10 24–37 -13 14
S P S V S
1 Stabaek — Champion 8 7 0 1 25–8 +17 21
V V V V V
2 Stromsgodset — Promotion 8 6 2 0 23–9 +14 20
V V V P P
3 Kongsvinger — Promotion Playoff 8 6 1 1 24–13 +11 19
V V P V S
4 Egersund — Promotion Playoff 9 6 1 2 16–9 +7 19
P S V V V
5 Ranheim — Promotion Playoff 9 5 2 2 28–18 +10 17
V P V S S
6 ODD Ballklubb — Promotion Playoff 9 5 2 2 20–10 +10 17
V V P S V
7 Haugesund 7 5 1 1 19–9 +10 16
P V V V S
8 hodd 8 5 1 2 15–12 +3 16
P V S V V
9 Asane 8 4 1 3 19–15 +4 13
V V V V P
10 Sogndal 7 4 1 2 18–14 +4 13
V P S V V
11 Sandnes ULF 8 4 1 3 14–13 +1 13
V V V V S
12 Bryne 8 3 2 3 13–13 +0 11
V V V P S
13 Raufoss 8 3 1 4 12–12 +0 10
V S V V S
14 Lyn — Relegation Playoff 9 3 0 6 13–24 -11 9
V S S V V
15 Moss — Relegation 7 2 2 3 10–13 -3 8
S P P S S
16 Strommen — Relegation 8 2 2 4 9–19 -10 8
S S V V P
1 Haugesund — Champion 9 6 0 3 29–22 +7 18
V V S V V
2 Stabaek — Promotion 9 4 3 2 19–11 +8 15
P P S V V
3 Kongsvinger — Promotion Playoff 8 4 2 2 19–12 +7 14
V S V S V
4 Stromsgodset — Promotion Playoff 8 3 3 2 21–14 +7 12
P V P S V
5 ODD Ballklubb — Promotion Playoff 7 3 2 2 11–10 +1 11
V S S P P
6 Bryne — Promotion Playoff 8 3 0 5 8–13 -5 9
S S V S V
7 Moss 9 3 0 6 15–23 -8 9
S V S S S
8 Lyn 8 2 2 4 11–13 -2 8
P S S P S
9 hodd 8 2 2 4 9–14 -5 8
S S P V S
10 Strommen 8 2 1 5 12–18 -6 7
S P S S V
11 Sandnes ULF 8 2 1 5 9–15 -6 7
S S V P S
12 Raufoss 8 2 0 6 7–22 -15 6
V S S S V
13 Sogndal 9 1 2 6 12–27 -15 5
S V S S S
14 Egersund — Relegation Playoff 7 1 1 5 13–19 -6 4
S S S S P
15 Ranheim — Relegation 7 1 0 6 11–23 -12 3
S S S S S
16 Asane — Relegation 8 0 1 7 5–22 -17 1
P S S S S
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Relegation Playoff

End of season projections

Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 9 Aug 2026
Champion Promotion Promotion Playoff Relegation Playoff Relegation
Team Zone probability Projected Pts Schedule Trend
Stabaek
65 (50–75)
pos. ~1.8°
C7 · T6
ELO 1505
▲1%
Haugesund
61 (41–74)
pos. ~2.8°
C7 · T6
ELO 1507
▲1%
Kongsvinger
59 (42–75)
pos. ~3.2°
C7 · T6
ELO 1506
▼1%
Stromsgodset
61 (44–74)
pos. ~2.6°
C6 · T7
ELO 1499
▼1%
ODD Ballklubb
52 (35–68)
pos. ~4.9°
C6 · T8
ELO 1506
▼0%
hodd
43 (27–61)
pos. ~7.3°
C7 · T6
ELO 1508
▼1%
Egersund
41 (25–59)
pos. ~7.8°
C6 · T7
ELO 1499
▲0%
Ranheim
36 (21–56)
pos. ~10.5°
C6 · T7
ELO 1506
▲2%
Sandnes ULF
39 (22–56)
pos. ~9.0°
C6 · T7
ELO 1503
▲1%
Bryne
39 (24–55)
pos. ~8.7°
C7 · T6
ELO 1503
▼1%
Sogndal
33 (18–50)
pos. ~11.9°
C7 · T6
ELO 1514
▼1%
Moss
31 (17–48)
pos. ~12.8°
C8 · T6
ELO 1507
▼0%
Lyn
30 (17–48)
pos. ~13.2°
C6 · T7
ELO 1504
▲7%
Raufoss
29 (16–46)
pos. ~13.8°
C7 · T6
ELO 1494
▼0%
Strommen
33 (17–51)
pos. ~12.2°
C6 · T7
ELO 1505
▼5%
Asane
30 (16–50)
pos. ~13.5°
C6 · T7
ELO 1500
▼2%
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.

Model & advanced data

Model calibration for this league
Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 4 55.00% 50.0% -5.00%
60–70%% 11 65.00% 63.6% -1.40%
70–100%% 5 85.00% 40.0% -45.00%
Based on 20 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for 1. Division?
For 1. Division, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for 1. Division?
Accuracy for 1. Division is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for 1. Division using per-league historical data.
How are 1. Division season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.