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Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Argentina  · Season 2026
53.70%
1X2 accuracy · 41 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

Group 1
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Champion Promotion Relegation
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 31 18 7 6 36–25 +11 61
V V P P P
71.10% 100% —
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49–31 +18 55
S S V V V
4.63% 99.23% —
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40–28 +12 53
P V V V V
1.32% 95.38% —
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44–28 +16 50
P V S V S
<1% 74.18% —
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38–25 +13 49
P V S S S
— 57.76% —
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23–18 +5 46
S S P P V
— 4.57% —
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29–26 +3 45
V V V S P
— 1.75% —
8 Ciudad de Bolívar 31 10 12 9 26–28 -2 42
V S P S V
— <1% —
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24–21 +3 40
V S P P P
— — —
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28–31 -3 36
S V P V P
— — <1%
11 Defensores De Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23–27 -4 36
S V V P V
— — <1%
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28–38 -10 36
P S S S V
— — <1%
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25–34 -9 34
V S V P S
— — <1%
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17–26 -9 33
P P S V P
— — 1.25%
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19–28 -9 32
P S P P P
— — 4.07%
16 Atletico Mitre 31 6 14 11 27–39 -12 32
S S P P P
— — 18.36%
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25–36 -11 31
S P P S S
— — 12.14%
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22–34 -12 29
V V S S P
— — 40.86%
Champion Promotion Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 28 Sep 2026
Group 2
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Champion Promotion Relegation
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32–15 +17 57
V P P P V
20.74% >99% —
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47–38 +9 54
P P V V P
<1% 72.85% —
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36–25 +11 53
S V P V V
2.04% 97.43% —
4 Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35–28 +7 52
V P V V S
<1% 61.85% —
5 Gimnasia Y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32–27 +5 48
V S P V V
— 22.05% —
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34–26 +8 47
S V V S S
— 6.52% —
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33–30 +3 45
S V P S V
— 5.02% —
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38–31 +7 44
V P P P S
— 1.17% —
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31–31 +0 43
V S V S V
— <1% —
10 Atletico DE Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25–27 -2 42
S V S S V
— <1% —
11 San Martin Tucuman 31 9 13 9 34–32 +2 40
P S V S P
— — —
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30–27 +3 38
V S V S S
— — —
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23–29 -6 36
V P S V S
— — <1%
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26–35 -9 36
S V S V P
— — —
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26–37 -11 35
S S P S V
— — <1%
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27–31 -4 34
V P P P S
— — <1%
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23–33 -10 30
S V S S S
— — 22.42%
18 Club Atlético Güemes 31 5 8 18 23–53 -30 23
S S S S P
— — 99.63%
Champion Promotion Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 28 Sep 2026

Upcoming matches

October 03, 2026
October 04, 2026

Recent results

September 28, 2026
September 27, 2026
September 26, 2026
September 22, 2026
September 21, 2026
September 20, 2026
September 19, 2026

Player statistics

⚽ Top scorers
1 A. Ruiz
A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
2
2 M. Meli
M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
1
👟 Assists
1 M. Meli
M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
1
2 J. Correa
J. Correa
CA Estudiantes
1
3 B. Gómez
B. Gómez
Defensores De Belgrano
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1 J. Correa
J. Correa
CA Estudiantes
4
2 M. Meli
M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
3
3 A. Ruiz
A. Ruiz
Nueva Chicago
1
🟥 Red cards
1 M. Meli
M. Meli
Deportivo Madryn
1

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 11 55.00% 36.4% -18.60%
60–70%% 26 65.00% 46.2% -18.80%
70–100%% 13 85.00% 69.2% -15.80%
Based on 50 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Primera Nacional?
For Primera Nacional, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Primera Nacional?
Accuracy for Primera Nacional is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primera Nacional using per-league historical data.
How are Primera Nacional season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.