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Primera Nacional

Primera Nacional

Argentina  · Season 2026
41.70%
1X2 accuracy · 36 predictions (3 months)

League Table + end of season projections

Group 1
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Champion Promotion Relegation
1 Ferro Carril Oeste 24 14 4 6 28–22 +6 46
V S S V V
36.44% 96.10% —
2 Deportivo Moron 23 12 5 6 37–22 +15 41
V S V P S
22.51% 91.17% —
3 Colon Santa Fe 24 10 9 5 29–19 +10 39
V P S S V
3.81% 67.30% —
4 Almirante Brown 24 10 8 6 19–13 +6 38
V V P P P
3.12% 64.03% —
5 Godoy Cruz 23 10 7 6 27–20 +7 37
V V V V S
<1% 34.56% —
6 Deportivo Madryn 23 9 9 5 30–22 +8 36
V V P P S
2.73% 58.94% —
7 Ciudad de Bolívar 24 8 10 6 21–21 +0 34
S S V P S
<1% 2.09% <1%
8 Los Andes 23 8 9 6 20–11 +9 33
S S P V S
<1% 14.61% —
9 CA Estudiantes 24 8 8 8 20–20 +0 32
S P S P V
<1% 4.72% —
10 Racing Cordoba 24 8 6 10 23–28 -5 30
V S V S V
— <1% <1%
11 Atletico Mitre 24 6 10 8 24–28 -4 28
V V P V S
— <1% 1.16%
12 San Miguel 23 5 11 7 17–23 -6 26
S S P S P
— <1% 2.41%
13 Defensores De Belgrano 23 5 10 8 16–21 -5 25
S P P S V
— — 8.35%
14 All Boys 24 4 12 8 14–23 -9 24
P S P P P
— — 14.25%
15 San Telmo 23 5 8 10 18–24 -6 23
S V S S S
— — 14.14%
16 Central Norte 23 5 8 10 15–24 -9 23
P V S S P
— — 16.06%
17 Chaco For Ever 23 5 7 11 21–28 -7 22
S V V V P
— — 4.93%
18 Acassuso 23 5 6 12 17–28 -11 21
S P P S P
— — 28.67%
Champion Promotion Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 13 Aug 2026
Group 2
# Team P W D L GF–GA GD Pts Form Champion Promotion Relegation
1 Tristan Suarez 23 11 9 3 23–12 +11 42
V V V V S
19.75% 91.09% —
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 24 12 5 7 35–29 +6 41
S S S V P
3.75% 64.12% —
3 Atlanta 23 12 3 8 29–22 +7 39
V S S V S
2.16% 50.99% —
4 Midland 23 10 7 6 25–16 +9 37
V P V V P
1.62% 43.97% —
5 Gimnasia Y Tiro 24 10 7 7 26–22 +4 37
V V V V P
1.37% 50.60% —
6 Temperley 24 9 10 5 24–21 +3 37
S S V V P
1.66% 50.03% —
7 Atletico DE Rafaela 24 9 7 8 18–19 -1 34
V P V S S
— 1.56% —
8 Deportivo Maipu 24 9 5 10 31–26 +5 32
S V S P V
— 5.40% —
9 San Martin Tucuman 24 7 10 7 22–20 +2 31
P S S P V
— <1% <1%
10 Colegiales 23 8 6 9 23–23 +0 30
P V V S S
<1% 5.33% <1%
11 Almagro 24 8 6 10 21–27 -6 30
P S P V S
— <1% <1%
12 Quilmes 24 7 8 9 24–21 +3 29
P V P S S
— <1% <1%
13 Nueva Chicago 23 7 8 8 20–22 -2 29
S V S P S
— <1% <1%
14 San Martin S.J. 22 7 7 8 23–23 +0 28
P P S V S
— <1% <1%
15 Chacarita Juniors 23 7 5 11 18–24 -6 26
S V S P V
— — 2.53%
16 Agropecuario 24 6 8 10 21–28 -7 26
V S V P P
— — 5.32%
17 Patronato 23 4 12 7 18–23 -5 24
P P S P S
— — 4.31%
18 Club Atlético Güemes 23 5 4 14 20–42 -22 19
S S S S S
— — 96.32%
Champion Promotion Relegation % = probability of reaching that zone or better · 10,000 simulations · 13 Aug 2026

Upcoming matches

August 14, 2026
August 15, 2026
August 16, 2026

Recent results

August 10, 2026
August 09, 2026
August 08, 2026
August 06, 2026
August 05, 2026
August 03, 2026
August 02, 2026
August 01, 2026

Model calibration for this league

Probability band Sample Expected (mid) Actual Δ
50–60%% 11 55.00% 36.4% -18.60%
60–70%% 16 65.00% 37.5% -27.50%
70–100%% 9 85.00% 55.6% -29.40%
Based on 36 verified predictions · Δ ≤ 5% = excellent calibration
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Primera Nacional?
For Primera Nacional, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Primera Nacional?
Accuracy for Primera Nacional is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Primera Nacional using per-league historical data.
How are Primera Nacional season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.