Matchday 11 of 30
37%
League Table
End of season projections
Monte Carlo simulation · 10,000 simulated seasons · updated 28 Sep 2026
Champion
| Team | Zone probability | Projected Pts | Schedule | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
59 (39–77)
pos. ~2.2°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1488
|
▼1% | ||
|
54 (33–73)
pos. ~3.4°
|
C9 · T10
ELO 1490
|
▲0% | ||
|
51 (27–71)
pos. ~4.6°
|
C7 · T12
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
52 (30–74)
pos. ~4.2°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1499
|
▲0% | ||
|
56 (34–75)
pos. ~2.8°
|
C9 · T10
ELO 1495
|
▲0% | ||
|
42 (22–63)
pos. ~8.3°
|
C9 · T11
ELO 1500
|
· | ||
|
44 (22–63)
pos. ~7.4°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1501
|
· | ||
|
45 (24–67)
pos. ~6.7°
|
C10 · T10
ELO 1496
|
· | ||
|
39 (19–64)
pos. ~9.3°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1493
|
· | ||
|
34 (15–54)
pos. ~11.7°
|
C10 · T10
ELO 1506
|
· | ||
|
40 (20–62)
pos. ~9.0°
|
C11 · T9
ELO 1497
|
· | ||
|
29 (11–53)
pos. ~13.6°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
32 (9–54)
pos. ~12.5°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
28 (11–49)
pos. ~14.1°
|
C9 · T10
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
29 (9–54)
pos. ~13.5°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1498
|
· | ||
|
0 (0–0)
pos. ~17.0°
|
C0 · T0
ELO
|
· | ||
|
31 (13–56)
pos. ~12.8°
|
C10 · T9
ELO 1501
|
· |
% = probability of reaching that zone or better. Each sparkline shows the trend of the most relevant probability for each team over the last 12 daily simulations.
Upcoming matches
Recent results
Frequently Asked Questions
What predictions are available for Prva Liga?
For Prva Liga, ForzaPitch provides 1X2 win probabilities, expected goals (xG), Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 signals and season projections for title, European qualification and relegation per team.
How accurate are predictions for Prva Liga?
Accuracy for Prva Liga is tracked match by match and shown on this page. The model is calibrated specifically for Prva Liga using per-league historical data.
How are Prva Liga season projections calculated?
Season projections use 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures, sampling from match probability distributions to estimate title, Champions League, Europa League and relegation probabilities per team.