Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 14
March 27, 2026 22:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Águilas Doradas a 29% win probability (draw 43%, Alianza Valledupar 26%). The final result was Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
1
2.00
Actual xG
0.61
56%
Possession
44%
5
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
29.3%
Águilas ←
43.86%
X
26.84%
Alianza
we assigned to the actual result (Águilas Doradas)
29.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
2.00
+1.46
0.62
0.61
-0.01
Águilas Doradas dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.61).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
The final score was Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar.
What did the model predict before Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Águilas Doradas win, 43% to a draw, and 26% to an Alianza Valledupar win.