AFC Champions League · Round of 16 April 13, 2026 16:45

Al-Ahli Jeddah

#2 · 17 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Al-Duhail SC

#7 · 8 pts

R. Mahrez 117'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Al-Duhail SC 30%). The final result was Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–0 Al-Duhail SC. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al-Duhail SC.

Match statistics

17

Total shots

9

7

Shots on target

3

1.67

Actual xG

0.75

3

Saves

5

61%

Possession

39%

7

Corners

2

15

Tackles

23

4

🟨 Yellow cards

4

Match Events

M. Abdulrahman

22'

51'

K. Piatek

E. Millot

55'

74'

I. Bamba

↕ M. Abdulrahman / A. Majrashi

86'

90'

A. Ali / I. Bamba ↕

↕ E. Millot / Matheus Goncalves

91'

Z. Al Johani

96'

104'

A. Ali

105'+6

S. Zakaria

⚽I. Toney (missed pen.)

105'+7

↕ Z. Al Johani / V. Atangana

105'

↕ Z. Al Hawsawi / F. Al Buraikan

115'

⚽R. Mahrez

117'

120'+2

M. Hamza / S. Al Brake ↕

↕ R. Mahrez / E. Al Muwallad

120'+3

E. Al Muwallad

120'+4

Pre-match prediction

38.15%

Al-Ahli ←

31.16%

X

30.69%

Al-Duhail

we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ahli Jeddah) 38.15% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Al-Ahli

2.78

1.67

-1.11

Al-Duhail

1.27

0.75

-0.52

Al-Ahli Jeddah dominated by xG (1.67 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	8	17
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	8	22
2	Al-Ahli Jeddah	8	17
2	Vissel Kobe	8	16
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	8	15
3	Tractor Sazi	8	17
4	Buriram United	8	14
4	Al-Ittihad FC	8	15
5	Melbourne City	8	14
5	Al Wahda FC	8	14
6	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai	8	11
6	Johor Darul Takzim FC	8	11
7	FC Seoul	8	10
7	Al-Duhail SC	8	8
8	Al Sadd	8	8
8	Gangwon FC	8	9
9	Ulsan Hyundai FC	8	9
9	Sharjah FC	8	8
10	Chengdu Better City	8	6
10	Al-Gharafa	8	6
11	Shanghai Shenhua	8	4
11	Al Shorta	8	5
12	Nasaf	8	4
12	SHANGHAI SIPG	8	4

Lineups

Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1

16 É. Mendy G 7.30

2 Z. Al Hawsawi D 6.90

3 Ibanez D 7.90

46

D 8.20

29 M. Abdulrahman 86' D 6.30

30 Z. Al Johani M 7.90

79 F. Kessie M 6.90

13 Galeno M 6.70

10 E. Millot M 6.00

7 R. Mahrez 1 ⚽ M 8.00

17 I. Toney F 5.90

Bench

27 A. Majrashi 34' D 7.00

14 E. Al Muwallad 1' M

9 F. Al Buraikan 9' F 6.60

20 Matheus Gonçalves 30' F 6.60

6 V. Atangana 15' M 6.70

Al-Duhail SC 4-1-4-1

1

S. Zakaria G 7.30

18

S. Al Brake D 6.90

21

D 6.20

3

D 7.20

17

D 7.30

22 I. Bamba 89' M 7.30

77

M 6.30

34

M 7.20

19

M 6.90

8

M 6.90

9 K. Piątek F 5.90

Bench

11

A. Ali 31' F 6.60

Best on the pitch

D · Al-Ahli

8.20

· 108 pass

R. Mahrez

M · Al-Ahli

8.00

1 ⚽

3 shots · 54 pass

Ibanez

D · Al-Ahli

7.90

3 shots · 97 pass

Z. Al Johani

M · Al-Ahli

7.90

2 shots · 47 pass

É. Mendy

G · Al-Ahli

7.30

· 29 pass

I. Bamba

M · Al-Duhail

7.30

· 22 pass

Al-Ahli Jeddah — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
É. Mendy	G	120	7.30	—	—	—	29	26%	—	—	—
Z. Al Hawsawi	D	115	6.90	—	—	—	37	33%	1	—	—
Ibanez	D	120	7.90	—	—	3	97	84%	1	—	—
	D	120	8.20	—	—	—	108	95%	3	—	—
M. Abdulrahman	D	86	6.30	—	—	—	28	20%	—	1	—
Z. Al Johani	M	105	7.90	—	—	2	47	42%	3	1	—
F. Kessie	M	120	6.90	—	—	—	58	47%	1	—	—
Galeno	M	120	6.70	—	—	5	22	13%	—	—	—
E. Millot	M	90	6.00	—	—	—	36	26%	2	1	—
R. Mahrez	M	119	8.00	1	—	3	54	40%	2	—	—
I. Toney	F	120	5.90	—	—	4	15	9%	—	—	—
A. Majrashi	D	34	7.00	—	—	—	16	11%	1	—	—
E. Al Muwallad	M	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	—
F. Al Buraikan	F	9	6.60	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Matheus Gonçalves	F	30	6.60	—	—	—	12	10%	1	—	—
V. Atangana	M	15	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Al-Duhail SC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
S. Zakaria	G	120	7.30	—	—	—	37	19%	—	1	—
S. Al Brake	D	119	6.90	—	—	—	33	20%	3	—	—
	D	120	6.20	—	—	—	35	26%	1	—	—
	D	120	7.20	—	—	—	31	21%	—	—	—
	D	120	7.30	—	—	—	34	30%	2	—	—
I. Bamba	M	89	7.30	—	—	—	22	13%	7	1	—
	M	120	6.30	—	—	4	30	18%	2	—	—
	M	120	7.20	—	—	—	31	25%	3	—	—
	M	120	6.90	—	—	2	36	25%	2	—	—
	M	120	6.90	—	—	2	32	25%	—	—	—
K. Piątek	F	120	5.90	—	—	1	24	14%	1	1	—
A. Ali	F	31	6.60	—	—	—	9	5%	2	1	—