Saudi Pro League · Regular Season - 28 April 09, 2026 22:00

Al-Ettifaq

#7 · 49 pts

2 – 3

Final score

Al Riyadh

#16 · 26 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Al-Ettifaq, result Al Riyadh vince

G. Wijnaldum (ast. M. Dembele) 5'

K. Al Ghannam (ast. G. Wijnaldum) 33'

38' L. Antunes

54' (ast. T. Okou) L. Antunes

90'+3 (ast. H. A. Bahri E.) M. Sylla

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ettifaq a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Al Riyadh 20%). The final result was Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al Riyadh. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ettifaq have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Al Riyadh.

Match statistics

8

Total shots

14

5

Shots on target

7

1.62

Actual xG

1.89

3

Saves

3

51%

Possession

49%

6

Corners

7

15

Tackles

6

1

🟨 Yellow cards

2

Match Events

⚽G. Wijnaldum · ast. M. Dembele

5'

R. Al Otaibi

27'

⚽K. Al Ghannam · ast. G. Wijnaldum

33'

38'

L. Antunes⚽

46'

K. Al Absi / E. Sali ↕

46'

O. Al Boardi / M. H. Tambakti ↕

54'

ast. T. Okou · L. Antunes⚽

↕ R. Al Otaibi / Kouka

69'

81'

M. Sylla / T. Okou ↕

85'

Y. Barbet

89'

M. Al Khaibari

90'+3

ast. H. A. Bahri E. · M. Sylla⚽

90'

H. A. Bahri E. / L. Antunes ↕

Pre-match prediction

59.58%

Al-Ettifaq

20.18%

X

20.24%

Al ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Al Riyadh) 20.24% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Al-Ettifaq

2.18

1.62

-0.55

Al

1.18

1.89

+0.7

xG dominance was balanced (1.62 – 1.89). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Al-Nassr	33	83
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	32	78
3	Al-Ahli Jeddah	32	75
4	Al-Qadisiyah FC	33	74
5	Al-Ittihad FC	32	55
6	Al Taawon	32	52
7	Al-Ettifaq	33	49
8	NEOM	32	44
9	Al-Hazm	33	39
10	Al-Fayha	32	38
11	Al Khaleej Saihat	32	37
12	Al-Fateh	33	36
13	Al Kholood	32	32
14	Al Shabab	32	32
15	Damac	32	26
16	Al Riyadh	32	26
17	Al Okhdood	32	17
18	Al Najma	33	13

Lineups

Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1

1

G 6.50

61 R. Al Otaibi 69' D 5.60

5 Francisco Calvo D 6.60

37

D 5.90

33

D 6.30

10 Álvaro Medrán M 7.30

11 O. Duda M 6.20

17 Khalid Al-Ghannam 1 ⚽ M 7.60

8 Georginio Wijnaldum 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 7.30

18

M 6.20

9 Moussa Dembélé 1 👟 F 7.20

Al Riyadh 4-2-3-1

82

G 7.90

12

D 6.00

5 Y. Barbet D 7.50

23 Mohammed Al Khaibari D 6.50

87 M. H. Tambakti 45' D 6.20

35 A. Al Siyahi M 6.30

27

M 6.50

98

Enes Sali 45' M 6.20

20 Toze M 7.00

10 T. Okou 1 👟 81' M 7.50

77 L. Antunes 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.30

Bench

9 M. Sylla 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.20

Best on the pitch

L. Antunes

F · Al

8.30

2 ⚽

8 shots · 20 pass

G · Al

7.90

· 25 pass

Khalid Al-Ghannam

M · Al-Ettifaq

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 26 pass

T. Okou

M · Al

7.50

1 👟

· 11 pass

Y. Barbet

D · Al

7.50

1 shots · 67 pass

Álvaro Medrán

M · Al-Ettifaq

7.30

· 71 pass

Al-Ettifaq — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
R. Al Otaibi	D	69	5.60	—	—	—	13	10%	3	1	—
Francisco Calvo	D	90	6.60	—	—	1	48	43%	2	—	—
	D	90	5.90	—	—	1	51	47%	2	—	—
	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	34	28%	2	—	—
Álvaro Medrán	M	90	7.30	—	—	—	71	54%	2	—	—
O. Duda	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	63	52%	3	—	—
Khalid Al-Ghannam	M	90	7.60	1	—	1	26	18%	1	—	—
Georginio Wijnaldum	M	90	7.30	1	1	1	16	14%	—	—	—
	M	90	6.20	—	—	—	16	11%	—	—	—
Moussa Dembélé	F	90	7.20	—	1	4	14	8%	—	—	—

Al Riyadh — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.90	—	—	—	25	19%	1	—	—
	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	28	24%	—	—	—
Y. Barbet	D	90	7.50	—	—	1	67	60%	—	1	—
Mohammed Al Khaibari	D	90	6.50	—	—	2	29	25%	—	1	—
M. H. Tambakti	D	45	6.20	—	—	1	18	13%	—	—	—
A. Al Siyahi	M	90	6.30	—	—	—	27	23%	2	—	—
	M	90	6.50	—	—	—	41	35%	2	—	—
Enes Sali	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	11	8%	—	—	—
Toze	M	90	7.00	—	—	1	31	26%	1	—	—
T. Okou	M	81	7.50	—	1	—	11	9%	—	—	—
L. Antunes	F	89	8.30	2	—	8	20	15%	—	—	—
M. Sylla	F	9	7.20	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—