Saudi Pro League
· Regular Season - 33
May 14, 2026 17:55
✓Model correct — prediction Al-Fateh
M. Vargas
21'
F. Al Zubaidi
(ast. A. Al Anazi)
55'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Fateh a 61% win probability (draw 22%, Al Najma 15%). The final result was Al-Fateh 2–0 Al Najma. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Fateh have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Al Najma.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
4
1.90
Actual xG
0.57
4
Saves
4
54%
Possession
46%
5
Corners
5
14
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
M. Saadane
14'
18'
Felippe Cardoso
⚽M. Vargas
21'
36'
N. Al Hawsawi
/
K. Al Subaie
⚽F. Al Zubaidi
· ast. A. Al Anazi
55'
62'
H. Al Dubais
/
N. Dunga
62'
D. Tijanic
/
A. Jasim
F. Pacheco
/ A. Al Bukhari
63'
66'
N. Al Hawsawi
69'
Guga
Z. Youssouf
/ N. Masoud
73'
F. Al Zubaidi
/ S. Al Sharfa
73'
M. Vargas
/ Ramos Jefferson
73'
A. Al Anazi
/ M. Refaat
85'
86'
M. Sharrahi
/
S. Al Essa
Z. Al Jari
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
61.69%
Al-Fateh ←
22.35%
X
15.96%
Al
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Fateh)
61.69%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.67
1.90
+0.23
0.63
0.57
-0.06
Al-Fateh dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Fernando Pacheco
63'
G
Fernando Pacheco
63'
G
78
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem
D
Abdulaziz Al-Swealem
D
17
Marwane Saadane
D
Marwane Saadane
D
4
Ziyad Aljari
D
Ziyad Aljari
D
12
Hussain Qasim
M
Hussain Qasim
M
28
Sofiane Bendebka
M
Sofiane Bendebka
M
33
Zaydou Youssouf
73'
M
Zaydou Youssouf
73'
M
15
Saeed Baattia
M
Saeed Baattia
M
94
Abdullah Al-Anazi
1 👟
85'
F
Abdullah Al-Anazi
1 👟
85'
F
27
Fahad Zubaidi
73'
F
Fahad Zubaidi
73'
F
10
Matías Vargas
1 ⚽
73'
F
Matías Vargas
1 ⚽
73'
F
Bench
97
Amin Al-Bukhari
29'
G
Amin Al-Bukhari
29'
G
21
Jefferson Ramos
19'
F
Jefferson Ramos
19'
F
44
Jorge Fernandes
D
Jorge Fernandes
D
24
Mahdi Al Obod
F
Mahdi Al Obod
F
50
Majed Mohammed
D
Majed Mohammed
D
70
Mohamed Refat
7'
F
Mohamed Refat
7'
F
6
Naif Masoud
19'
M
Naif Masoud
19'
M
49
Saad Al-Shurafa
19'
F
Saad Al-Shurafa
19'
F
87
Sattam Al Tumbukti
D
Sattam Al Tumbukti
D
1
Victor Braga
G
Victor Braga
G
3
Samir Caetano
D
Samir Caetano
D
33
Mohammed Al Fatil
D
Mohammed Al Fatil
D
18
Abdulaziz Al Harabi
D
Abdulaziz Al Harabi
D
27
Khalid Alsubaie
36'
M
Khalid Alsubaie
36'
M
16
Gonçalo Rodrigues
69'
M
Gonçalo Rodrigues
69'
M
80
Nabil Donga
62'
M
Nabil Donga
62'
M
66
Sultan Alessa
86'
M
Sultan Alessa
86'
M
14
Ali Jasim
62'
F
Ali Jasim
62'
F
23
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
F
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
F
70
Felippe Cardoso
F
Felippe Cardoso
F
Bench
24
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
D
Abdullah Al-Hawsawi
D
43
David Tijanič
30'
M
David Tijanič
30'
M
77
Hisham Al-Dubais
30'
F
Hisham Al-Dubais
30'
F
6
Khalid Al-Shammari
M
Khalid Al-Shammari
M
11
Majed Dawran
M
Majed Dawran
M
75
Majed Mohammed Sharrahi
6'
M
Majed Mohammed Sharrahi
6'
M
4
Nasser Al Haleel
D
Nasser Al Haleel
D
50
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi
56'
D
Nawaf Al-Hawsawi
56'
D
87
Waled Al Enazi
G
Waled Al Enazi
G
Best on the pitch
Matías Vargas
F · Al-Fateh
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 22 pass
Fernando Pacheco
G · Al-Fateh
7.50
· 12 pass
Amin Al-Bukhari
G · Al-Fateh
7.30
· 3 pass
Rakan Al-Tulayhi
F · Al
7.20
2 shots
· 39 pass
Ziyad Aljari
D · Al-Fateh
7.20
· 24 pass
Sofiane Bendebka
M · Al-Fateh
7.20
2 shots
· 54 pass
Al-Fateh — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 63 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Swealem | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Marwane Saadane | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| Ziyad Aljari | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Hussain Qasim | M | 92 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Zaydou Youssouf | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Saeed Baattia | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Anazi | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 28 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Fahad Zubaidi | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matías Vargas | F | 73 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Amin Al-Bukhari | G | 29 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Ramos | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Refat | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Naif Masoud | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Saad Al-Shurafa | F | 19 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Al Najma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Braga | G | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Samir Caetano | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Fatil | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Harabi | D | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Khalid Alsubaie | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Rodrigues | M | 69 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Nabil Donga | M | 62 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Alessa | M | 86 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 3 | — | — |
| Ali Jasim | F | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Rakan Al-Tulayhi | F | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Felippe Cardoso | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| David Tijanič | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hisham Al-Dubais | F | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Majed Mohammed Sharrahi | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Hawsawi | D | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
The final score was Al-Fateh 2–0 Al Najma.
What did the model predict before Al-Fateh vs Al Najma?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Al-Fateh win, 22% to a draw, and 15% to an Al Najma win.