AFC Champions League
· Round of 16
April 14, 2026 20:00
Fabinho
120'+10
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Al-Ittihad FC a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Al Wahda FC 32%). The final result was Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Wahda FC. In 1 previous meetings, Al-Ittihad FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al Wahda FC.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
3
Shots on target
0
1.84
Actual xG
0.95
1
Saves
2
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
4
14
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
57'
Dušan Tadić
Steven Bergwijn
/ Roger Fernandes
65'
72'
Mohammad Ghorbani
/
Facundo Kruspzky
72'
Guga
/
Mansour Saleh
Moussa Diaby
/ Abdulrahman Alobud
79'
Abdulrahman Alobud
90'+1
91'
Caio Canedo
/
Christian Benteke
Houssem Aouar
/ Ahmed Al-Ghamdi
98'
Muhannad Shanqeeti
/ Ahmed Al-Julaydan
98'
Youssef En-Nesyri
/ George Ilenikhena
99'
Ahmed Al-Julaydan
105'+2
110'
Jadsom
110'
Gaston Alvarez Suarez
/
Jadsom
111'
Zayed Ahmed
113'
Caio Canedo
119'
Bader Abaelaziz
/
Rúben Amaral
120'+5
120'+8
Bader Abaelaziz
⚽Fabinho
(pen.)
120'+10
Pre-match prediction
34.72%
Al-Ittihad ←
32.9%
X
32.38%
Al
we assigned to the actual result (Al-Ittihad FC)
34.72%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.84
+0.56
0.97
0.95
-0.02
Al-Ittihad FC dominated by xG (1.84 vs 0.95).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Predrag Rajković
G
Predrag Rajković
G
12
Mario Mitaj
D
Mario Mitaj
D
15
D
3
D
13
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
D
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
D
8
Fabinho
1 ⚽
M
Fabinho
1 ⚽
M
2
Danilo Pereira
M
Danilo Pereira
M
34
Steven Bergwijn
65'
M
Steven Bergwijn
65'
M
10
H. Aouar
M
H. Aouar
M
19
M. Diaby
79'
M
M. Diaby
79'
M
21
Y. En Nesyri
F
Y. En Nesyri
F
Bench
24
Abdulrahman Alobud
41'
F
Abdulrahman Alobud
41'
F
27
Ahmed Al-Ghamdi
22'
F
Ahmed Al-Ghamdi
22'
F
32
Ahmed Al-Julaydan
22'
D
Ahmed Al-Julaydan
22'
D
16
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
M
Faisal Al-Ghamdi
M
99
G. Ilenikhena
21'
F
78
Roger
55'
F
36
Zayed Ahmed
G
19
Rúben Amaral
D
31
D
3
D
2
Mansour Saleh
72'
D
25
Jadsom
M
11
Facundo Kruspzky
72'
M
10
D. Tadić
M
D. Tadić
M
12
M
70
F
35
Christian Benteke
F
Bench
60
Bader Abaelaziz
11'
D
7
Caio Canedo
30'
F
Best on the pitch
Mario Mitaj
D · Al-Ittihad
7.90
· 108 pass
Fabinho
M · Al-Ittihad
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 63 pass
Danilo Pereira
M · Al-Ittihad
7.90
3 shots
· 57 pass
D · Al-Ittihad
7.60
· 65 pass
D · Al-Ittihad
7.30
1 shots
· 61 pass
Abdulrahman Alobud
F · Al-Ittihad
7.30
1 shots
· 24 pass
Al-Ittihad FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predrag Rajković | G | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Mario Mitaj | D | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 108 | 92% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 120 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 61% | 1 | — | — | |
| Muhannad Al Shanqiti | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 120 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 63 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Danilo Pereira | M | 120 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Aouar | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Diaby | M | 79 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Y. En Nesyri | F | 99 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Alobud | F | 41 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Ilenikhena | F | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Roger | F | 55 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
Al Wahda FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zayed Ahmed | G | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rúben Amaral | D | 119 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | 5 | — | — |
| D | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Mansour Saleh | D | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Jadsom | M | 110 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Facundo Kruspzky | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Tadić | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M | 120 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 5 | — | — | |
| F | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 32% | 2 | — | — | |
| Christian Benteke | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Bader Abaelaziz | D | 11 | 5.60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Caio Canedo | F | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Wahda FC?
The final score was Al-Ittihad FC 1–0 Al Wahda FC.
What did the model predict before Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Wahda FC?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Al-Ittihad FC win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Al Wahda FC win.