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Al Shabab - Al-Ittihad FC

Saudi Pro League May 17, 2026 20:00
Al Shabab
#14 · 32 pts
vs
Al-Ittihad FC
#5 · 55 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
68.17%
Win
Al Shabab
16.96%
Draw
14.87%
Win
Al-Ittihad FC
2.87
Expected xG
1.32
Model prediction
Al Shabab
68.17%
Probability
59.4%
1X2 accuracy · 32 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Shabab a 68% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Al-Ittihad FC. Expected goals are 2.9 for Al Shabab and 1.3 for Al-Ittihad FC (total 4.2), with a 91% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Al Shabab have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Al-Ittihad FC.

Score Matrix
↕ Al Shabab Al-Ittihad FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
1 4.4% 5.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.2% 8.2% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
4 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.4% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Recent form
Al Shabab Al Shabab
L NEOM 2–1
L Al-Nassr 2–4
L Al Taawon 1–5
D Al-Fateh 1–1
D Al-Qadisiyah FC 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
W Al-Ettifaq 1–3
W Damac 2–1
D Al Kholood 0–0
W Al Taawon 0–2
L NEOM 3–4
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 15%
Playing profile
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Attack
46
Defence
41
Form
37
Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC
Attack
36
Defence
63
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Al Shabab
0
Draw
1
Al-Ittihad FC
L 27 Dec 2025 Saudi Pro League 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr 33 83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi FC 32 78
3 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 32 75
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 33 74
5 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC 32 55
6 Al Taawon Al Taawon 32 52
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 33 49
8 NEOM NEOM 32 44
9 Al-Hazm Al-Hazm 33 39
10 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 32 38
11 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Saihat 32 37
12 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh 33 36
13 Al Kholood Al Kholood 32 32
14 Al Shabab Al Shabab 32 32
15 Damac Damac 32 26
16 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 32 26
17 Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 32 17
18 Al Najma Al Najma 33 13
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
The model gives Al Shabab a 68% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 14% for an Al-Ittihad FC win.
How many goals are expected in Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
Expected goals: Al Shabab 2.9, Al-Ittihad FC 1.3 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 91%.
What is the most likely score in Al Shabab vs Al-Ittihad FC?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.2%.