La Liga
· Regular Season - 32
April 25, 2026 16:00
T. Martinez
(ast. A. Rebbach)
56'
T. Martinez
(ast. A. Perez)
69'
18'
(ast. Samu Costa)
J. Virgili
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Alaves a 44% win probability (draw 25%, Mallorca 29%). The final result was Alaves 2–1 Mallorca. In 1 previous meetings, Alaves have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mallorca.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
2
4
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
0.28
1
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
9
Corners
4
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
L. Boye
/ I. Diabate
4'
18'
ast. Samu Costa ·
J. Virgili⚽
Jonny Otto
26'
⚽T. Martinez
· ast. A. Rebbach
56'
59'
M. Valjent
C. Alena
/ D. Suarez
63'
⚽T. Martinez
· ast. A. Perez
69'
70'
M. Morlanes
/
P. Torre
V. Parada
76'
T. Martinez
/ J. Guridi
81'
A. Perez
/ Calebe
81'
V. Parada
/ J. Pacheco
81'
81'
A. Prats
/
S. Darder
85'
M. Morey Bauza
/
P. Maffeo
86'
T. Lato
/
J. Mojica
Pre-match prediction
44.58%
Alaves ←
25.51%
X
29.9%
Mallorca
we assigned to the actual result (Alaves)
44.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.59
1.09
-0.5
1.30
0.28
-1.03
Alaves dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Antonio Sivera
G
Antonio Sivera
G
21
Abderrahman Rebbach
1 👟
D
Abderrahman Rebbach
1 👟
D
24
Victor Parada
81'
D
Victor Parada
81'
D
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
Nahuel Tenaglia
D
17
Jonny Otto
D
Jonny Otto
D
7
Ángel Pérez
1 👟
81'
D
Ángel Pérez
1 👟
81'
D
10
Carles Aleñá
63'
M
Carles Aleñá
63'
M
8
Antonio Blanco
M
Antonio Blanco
M
19
Pablo Ibáñez
M
Pablo Ibáñez
M
15
L. Boyé
4'
F
L. Boyé
4'
F
11
Toni Martínez
2 ⚽
81'
F
Toni Martínez
2 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
4
Denis Suárez
34'
M
Denis Suárez
34'
M
22
Ibrahim Diabaté
93'
F
Ibrahim Diabaté
93'
F
18
Jon Guridi
16'
M
Jon Guridi
16'
M
3
Youssef Enriquez
D
Youssef Enriquez
D
1
Leo Román
G
Leo Román
G
22
Johan Mojica
86'
D
Johan Mojica
86'
D
24
Martin Valjent
D
Martin Valjent
D
27
David López
D
David López
D
23
Pablo Maffeo
85'
D
Pablo Maffeo
85'
D
10
Sergi Darder
81'
M
Sergi Darder
81'
M
5
Omar Mascarell
M
Omar Mascarell
M
12
Samú Costa
1 👟
M
Samú Costa
1 👟
M
20
Pablo Torre
70'
M
Pablo Torre
70'
M
17
Jan Virgili
1 ⚽
F
Jan Virgili
1 ⚽
F
7
V. Muriqi
F
V. Muriqi
F
Bench
30
J. Kalumba
F
8
Manu Morlanes
27'
M
Manu Morlanes
27'
M
11
Takuma Asano
F
Takuma Asano
F
Best on the pitch
Toni Martínez
F · Alaves
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Jan Virgili
F · Mallorca
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Omar Mascarell
M · Mallorca
7.30
· 41 pass
Manu Morlanes
M · Mallorca
7.20
· 10 pass
Leo Román
G · Mallorca
7.20
· 48 pass
Ángel Pérez
D · Alaves
7.00
1 👟
· 34 pass
Alaves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Sivera | G | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Parada | D | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 44% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonny Otto | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 64% | — | 1 | — |
| Ángel Pérez | D | 81 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 46% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Boyé | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 81 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Mallorca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Martin Valjent | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 52% | 3 | 1 | — |
| David López | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 85 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Sergi Darder | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Omar Mascarell | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 70 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Muriqi | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 27 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Alaves vs Mallorca?
The final score was Alaves 2–1 Mallorca.
What did the model predict before Alaves vs Mallorca?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Alaves win, 25% to a draw, and 29% to an Mallorca win.