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Almeria - Las Palmas

Segunda División May 16, 2026 18:30
Almeria
#3 · 71 pts
vs
Las Palmas
#5 · 66 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.41%
Win
Almeria
15.09%
Draw
19.5%
Win
Las Palmas
3.5
Expected xG
1.8
Model prediction
Almeria
65.41%
Probability
67.3%
1X2 accuracy · 52 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Almeria a 65% win probability, against 15% for a draw and 19% for Las Palmas. Expected goals are 3.5 for Almeria and 1.8 for Las Palmas (total 5.3), with a 87% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 6.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Almeria have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Las Palmas.

Score Matrix
↕ Almeria Las Palmas →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 1.8% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
2 3.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5%
3 3.6% 6.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6%
4 3.1% 5.6% 5.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5%
5 2.2% 3.9% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3%
Recent form
Almeria Almeria
D Burgos 0–0
W Mirandes 4–2
W Granada CF 2–4
W Malaga 3–2
L Racing Santander 5–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 17%
Las Palmas Las Palmas
L FC Andorra 5–1
W Valladolid 2–1
W Cadiz 1–2
W Leganes 2–0
L Malaga 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 17%
Playing profile
Almeria Almeria
Attack
58
Defence
54
Form
64
Las Palmas Las Palmas
Attack
39
Defence
59
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Almeria
0
Draw
0
Las Palmas
W 27 Sep 2025 Segunda División 1–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Racing Santander Racing Santander 39 75
2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 39 71
3 Almeria Almeria 39 71
4 Malaga Malaga 39 66
5 Las Palmas Las Palmas 39 66
6 Castellón Castellón 39 65
7 Eibar Eibar 39 64
8 Burgos Burgos 39 63
9 Cordoba Cordoba 39 60
10 FC Andorra FC Andorra 39 58
11 AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 39 55
12 Albacete Albacete 39 53
13 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 39 52
14 Granada CF Granada CF 39 48
15 Valladolid Valladolid 39 46
16 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 39 45
17 Leganes Leganes 39 42
18 Cadiz Cadiz 39 39
19 Huesca Huesca 39 36
20 Mirandes Mirandes 39 36
21 Zaragoza Zaragoza 39 35
22 Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 39 33
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Almeria vs Las Palmas?
The model gives Almeria a 65% win probability, 15% for a draw, and 19% for an Las Palmas win.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Las Palmas?
Expected goals: Almeria 3.5, Las Palmas 1.8 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 87%.
What is the most likely score in Almeria vs Las Palmas?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 6.4%.