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Apoel Nicosia - Omonia Nicosia

First Division May 16, 2026 17:00
Apoel Nicosia
#5 · 52 pts
vs
Omonia Nicosia
#1 · 81 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
15.56%
Win
Apoel Nicosia
16.96%
Draw
67.48%
Win
Omonia Nicosia
1.02
Expected xG
2.59
Model prediction
Omonia Nicosia
67.48%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 6 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Omonia Nicosia a 67% win probability, against 16% for a draw and 15% for Apoel Nicosia. Expected goals are 1.0 for Apoel Nicosia and 2.6 for Omonia Nicosia (total 3.6), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 9.3% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Apoel Nicosia have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Omonia Nicosia.

Score Matrix
↕ Apoel Nicosia Omonia Nicosia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7% 7.1% 9.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6%
1 2.8% 7.2% 9.3% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.4% 3.6% 4.7% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4%
3 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 — 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
Recent form
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
L Apollon Limassol 2–0
L Aris 1–0
W AEK Larnaca 1–0
D Pafos 3–3
L Omonia Nicosia 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
D AEK Larnaca 1–1
W Pafos 0–2
W Aris 3–0
W Apollon Limassol 2–3
W Apoel Nicosia 2–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 31%
Playing profile
Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia
Attack
29
Defence
54
Form
45
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
Attack
55
Defence
79
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Apoel Nicosia
1
Draw
1
Omonia Nicosia
L 18 Apr 2026 First Division 0–2
W 22 Feb 2026 First Division 1–0
D 9 Nov 2025 First Division 2–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 34 81
1 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 26 61
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 26 53
2 AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca 34 65
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 26 53
3 Apollon Limassol Apollon Limassol 34 64
4 Pafos Pafos 34 58
4 Pafos Pafos 26 51
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 34 52
5 Apoel Nicosia Apoel Nicosia 26 45
6 Aris Aris 34 51
6 Aris Aris 26 43
7 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 26 34
7 Anorthosis Anorthosis 32 45
8 AEL AEL 32 41
8 AEL AEL 26 33
9 Anorthosis Anorthosis 26 32
9 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 32 39
10 Omonia Aradippou Omonia Aradippou 32 39
10 Krasava Ypsonas Krasava Ypsonas 26 28
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 32 37
11 Olympiakos Olympiakos 26 28
12 Akritas Akritas 32 35
12 Akritas Akritas 26 26
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 26 23
13 Ethnikos Achna Ethnikos Achna 32 33
14 Enosis Enosis 32 4
14 Enosis Enosis 26 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia?
The model gives Apoel Nicosia a 15% win probability, 16% for a draw, and 67% for an Omonia Nicosia win.
How many goals are expected in Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia?
Expected goals: Apoel Nicosia 1.0, Omonia Nicosia 2.6 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Apoel Nicosia vs Omonia Nicosia?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.3%.