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Araz - Kapaz

Premier League May 15, 2026 17:30
#7 · 40 pts
vs
#10 · 27 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.13%
Win
Araz
33.56%
Draw
29.31%
Win
Kapaz
0.89
Expected xG
0.8

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Araz a 37% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Kapaz. Expected goals are 0.9 for Araz and 0.8 for Kapaz (total 1.7), with a 64% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 18.4% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Araz have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Kapaz.

Score Matrix
↕ Araz Kapaz →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.4% 14.7% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.4% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3%
2 7.3% 5.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.1%
Recent form
L Sumqayıt 2–1
L Imisli FK 0–1
D Qabala 1–1
L Turan 0–3
L Neftchi Baku 2–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 20%
W Sabah FA 0–1
W Sumqayıt 2–1
L Şamaxı FK 2–0
L Imisli FK 0–1
L Karvan 4–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 36%
Playing profile
Araz Araz
Attack
24
Defence
56
Form
34
Kapaz Kapaz
Attack
19
Defence
66
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Sabah FA Sabah FA 31 75
2 Qarabag Qarabag 31 63
3 Turan Turan 31 59
4 Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku 31 53
5 Zira Zira 31 50
6 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 31 41
7 Araz Araz 31 40
8 Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK 31 35
9 Imisli FK Imisli FK 31 33
10 Kapaz Kapaz 31 27
11 Qabala Qabala 31 21
12 Karvan Karvan 31 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Araz vs Kapaz?
The model gives Araz a 37% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 29% for an Kapaz win.
How many goals are expected in Araz vs Kapaz?
Expected goals: Araz 0.9, Kapaz 0.8 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 64%.
What is the most likely score in Araz vs Kapaz?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.4%.