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Arka Gdynia - Nieciecza

Ekstraklasa May 16, 2026 20:00
Arka Gdynia
#17 · 36 pts
vs
Nieciecza
#18 · 28 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.53%
Win
Arka Gdynia
32.06%
Draw
27.41%
Win
Nieciecza
1.0
Expected xG
0.82

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Arka Gdynia a 40% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Nieciecza. Expected goals are 1.0 for Arka Gdynia and 0.8 for Nieciecza (total 1.8), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 16.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Arka Gdynia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nieciecza.

Score Matrix
↕ Arka Gdynia Nieciecza →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3% 13.4% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.0% 6.6% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% —
3 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% —
4 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
D Gornik Zabrze 0–0
D Lech Poznan 1–1
L Piast Gliwice 4–1
L Jagiellonia 0–3
D Cracovia Krakow 2–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
Nieciecza Nieciecza
L Legia Warszawa 0–1
L GKS Katowice 5–1
W Zaglebie Lubin 1–2
L Wisla Plock 1–3
L Widzew Łódź 1–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
Attack
27
Defence
56
Form
34
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Attack
34
Defence
48
Form
30
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Arka Gdynia
0
Draw
1
Nieciecza
L 21 Nov 2025 Ekstraklasa 0–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 32 56
2 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 32 52
3 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 32 50
4 Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa 32 49
5 GKS Katowice GKS Katowice 32 48
6 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 48
7 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 32 45
8 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 32 44
9 Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa 32 43
10 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 32 42
11 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 41
12 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 32 41
13 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 32 40
14 Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź 32 39
15 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 32 39
16 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 32 38
17 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 32 36
18 Nieciecza Nieciecza 32 28
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
The model gives Arka Gdynia a 40% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 27% for an Nieciecza win.
How many goals are expected in Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
Expected goals: Arka Gdynia 1.0, Nieciecza 0.8 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Arka Gdynia vs Nieciecza?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.3%.