Europa League · Round of 16 March 19, 2026 21:00

Aston Villa

#2 · 21 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Lille

#18 · 12 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 47% win probability (draw 27%, Lille 24%). The final result was Aston Villa 2–0 Lille. In 1 previous meetings, Aston Villa have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Lille.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

1.80

Actual xG

0.34

52%

Possession

48%

5

Corners

5

Pre-match prediction

47.81%

Aston ←

27.21%

X

24.99%

Lille

we assigned to the actual result (Aston Villa) 47.81% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Aston

1.54

1.80

+0.26

Lille

0.95

0.34

-0.61

Aston Villa dominated by xG (1.80 vs 0.34). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Lyon	8	21
2	Aston Villa	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	SC Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	Genk	8	16
10	Bologna	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvarosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest	8	14
14	Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	Celta Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK	8	12
18	Lille	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe	8	12
20	Panathinaikos	8	12
21	Celtic	8	11
22	Ludogorets	8	10
23	Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB	8	7
28	GO Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers	8	4
33	Nice	8	3
34	Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv	8	1