Serie A
· Regular Season - 32
April 11, 2026 22:45
48'
J. Boga
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 43% win probability (draw 22%, Juventus 34%). The final result was Atalanta 0–1 Juventus. In 2 previous meetings, Atalanta have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Juventus.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.82
Actual xG
0.63
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
13
Corners
2
10
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
48'
J. Boga⚽
N. Zalewski
/ G. Raspadori
55'
58'
J. David
/
K. Yildiz
Charles De Ketelaere
66'
69'
Khéphren Thuram
71'
F. Gatti
/
E. Holm
71'
T. Koopmeiners
/
K. Thuram
S. Kolasinac
/ H. Ahanor
72'
M. De Roon
/ M. Pasalic
72'
N. Krstovic
/ G. Scamacca
72'
73'
Andrea Cambiaso
79'
F. Miretti
/
F. Conceicao
79'
F. Kostic
/
A. Cambiaso
84'
Filip Kostić
D. Zappacosta
/ R. Bellanova
86'
Pre-match prediction
43.31%
Atalanta
22.17%
X
34.52%
Juventus ←
we assigned to the actual result (Juventus)
34.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
1.82
+0.01
1.73
0.63
-1.1
Atalanta dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
23
Sead Kolašinac
72'
D
Sead Kolašinac
72'
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
D
Giorgio Scalvini
D
47
L. Bernasconi
M
13
Éderson
M
Éderson
M
15
Marten de Roon
72'
M
Marten de Roon
72'
M
77
Davide Zappacosta
86'
M
Davide Zappacosta
86'
M
59
Nicola Zalewski
55'
F
Nicola Zalewski
55'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
F
C. De Ketelaere
F
90
N. Krstović
72'
F
N. Krstović
72'
F
Bench
18
Giacomo Raspadori
42'
F
Giacomo Raspadori
42'
F
9
G. Scamacca
25'
F
G. Scamacca
25'
F
10
Lazar Samardžić
M
Lazar Samardžić
M
8
M. Pašalić
25'
M
M. Pašalić
25'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
11'
D
Raoul Bellanova
11'
D
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
46
S. Levak
M
16
G
6
Lloyd Kelly
D
Lloyd Kelly
D
3
Bremer
D
Bremer
D
15
Pierre Kalulu
D
Pierre Kalulu
D
27
Andrea Cambiaso
79'
M
Andrea Cambiaso
79'
M
19
Khéphren Thuram
71'
M
Khéphren Thuram
71'
M
5
M. Locatelli
M
M. Locatelli
M
2
Emil Holm
71'
M
Emil Holm
71'
M
10
K. Yıldız
58'
F
K. Yıldız
58'
F
7
Francisco Conceição
79'
F
Francisco Conceição
79'
F
13
Jérémie Boga
1 ⚽
F
Jérémie Boga
1 ⚽
F
Bench
23
Carlo Pinsoglio
G
Carlo Pinsoglio
G
21
Fabio Miretti
18'
M
Fabio Miretti
18'
M
4
Federico Gatti
26'
D
Federico Gatti
26'
D
18
Filip Kostić
18'
M
Filip Kostić
18'
M
30
J. David
39'
F
J. David
39'
F
20
Loïs Openda
F
Loïs Openda
F
8
Teun Koopmeiners
26'
M
Teun Koopmeiners
26'
M
Best on the pitch
M. Locatelli
M · Juventus
8.20
1 shots
· 52 pass
C. De Ketelaere
F · Atalanta
8.00
2 shots
· 39 pass
Lloyd Kelly
D · Juventus
7.60
· 48 pass
G · Juventus
7.50
· 31 pass
Éderson
M · Atalanta
7.30
· 50 pass
Jérémie Boga
F · Juventus
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bernasconi | M | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 41 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | F | 55 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 97 | 8.00 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Pašalić | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Juventus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Lloyd Kelly | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Bremer | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Pierre Kalulu | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Andrea Cambiaso | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Khéphren Thuram | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Locatelli | M | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| Emil Holm | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| K. Yıldız | F | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Jérémie Boga | F | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabio Miretti | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Federico Gatti | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Kostić | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| J. David | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Teun Koopmeiners | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Juventus?
The final score was Atalanta 0–1 Juventus.
What did the model predict before Atalanta vs Juventus?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Atalanta win, 22% to a draw, and 34% to an Juventus win.