MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 37% win probability (draw 32%, DC United 30%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 0–0 DC United.
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
0.26
Actual xG
0.16
71%
Possession
29%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
37.85%
Atlanta
32.02%
X ←
30.13%
DC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.02%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
0.26
-1.07
0.74
0.16
-0.58
xG dominance was balanced (0.26 – 0.16).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 0–0 DC United.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an DC United win.