MLS
· Regular Season - 9
April 23, 2026 03:45
F. Picault
38'
73'
(ast. C. Gil)
W. Sands
78'
P. Miller
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 41% win probability (draw 28%, New England Revolution 30%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 1–2 New England Revolution.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
9
Shots on target
4
2.47
Actual xG
1.10
2
Saves
8
46%
Possession
54%
7
Corners
3
12
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
19'
⚽F. Picault
38'
M. Galarza
44'
M. Edwards
47'
60'
D. Fagundez
/
G. Yow
66'
P. Miller
/
L. Langoni
73'
ast. C. Gil ·
W. Sands⚽
78'
P. Miller⚽
M. Galarza
/ T. Muyumba
79'
C. Sanchez
/ A. Fortune
79'
S. Lobjanidze
/ L. Brennan
79'
F. Picault
/ C. Togashi
79'
87'
B. Raines
W. Reilly
/ E. Latte Lath
88'
89'
E. Klein
/
D. Turgeman
90'+2
I. Feingold
Pre-match prediction
41.26%
Atlanta
28.62%
X
30.12%
New ←
we assigned to the actual result (New England Revolution)
30.12%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.75
2.47
+0.72
1.24
1.10
-0.14
Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (2.47 vs 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Lucas Hoyos
G
Lucas Hoyos
G
18
Pedro Amador
D
Pedro Amador
D
6
Juan Berrocal
D
Juan Berrocal
D
4
Enea Mihaj
D
Enea Mihaj
D
47
Matthew Edwards
D
Matthew Edwards
D
88
Matías Galarza
79'
M
Matías Galarza
79'
M
28
William Reilly
88'
M
William Reilly
88'
M
48
Cooper Sanchez
79'
M
Cooper Sanchez
79'
M
22
F. Picault
1 ⚽
79'
F
59
Aleksey Miranchuk
F
Aleksey Miranchuk
F
11
Saba Lobzhanidze
79'
F
Saba Lobzhanidze
79'
F
Bench
35
Ajani Fortune
11'
M
Ajani Fortune
11'
M
30
Cayman Togashi
11'
F
Cayman Togashi
11'
F
3
Elías Báez
D
Elías Báez
D
9
Emmanuel Latte Lath
2'
F
Emmanuel Latte Lath
2'
F
20
Luke Brennan
11'
M
Luke Brennan
11'
M
5
Stian Gregersen
D
Stian Gregersen
D
8
Tristan Muyumba
11'
M
Tristan Muyumba
11'
M
30
Matt Turner
G
Matt Turner
G
23
William Sands
1 ⚽
D
William Sands
1 ⚽
D
2
Mamadou Fofana
D
Mamadou Fofana
D
22
Ethan Kohler
D
Ethan Kohler
D
12
I. Feingold
D
21
Brooklyn Raines
M
Brooklyn Raines
M
80
Alhassan Yusuf
M
Alhassan Yusuf
M
7
Griffin Yow
60'
M
Griffin Yow
60'
M
10
Carles Gil
1 👟
M
Carles Gil
1 👟
M
41
Luca Langoni
66'
M
Luca Langoni
66'
M
11
Dor Turgeman
89'
F
Dor Turgeman
89'
F
Bench
88
Andrew Farrell
D
Andrew Farrell
D
35
C. Oliveira
M
77
Diego Fagúndez
30'
M
Diego Fagúndez
30'
M
32
Malcolm Fry
F
Malcolm Fry
F
17
Marcos Zambrano
F
Marcos Zambrano
F
25
Peyton Miller
1 ⚽
24'
D
Peyton Miller
1 ⚽
24'
D
4
Tanner Beason
D
Tanner Beason
D
Best on the pitch
Matt Turner
G · New
9.20
· 45 pass
Aleksey Miranchuk
F · Atlanta
8.30
2 shots
· 33 pass
Carles Gil
M · New
8.00
1 👟
· 46 pass
F. Picault
F · Atlanta
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Mamadou Fofana
D · New
7.90
· 61 pass
William Sands
D · New
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 40 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 79 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| William Reilly | M | 88 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 79 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
New England Revolution — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 9.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | — | — |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 61 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 80 | 75% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Feingold | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Griffin Yow | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Carles Gil | M | 90 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Luca Langoni | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Peyton Miller | D | 24 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 1–2 New England Revolution.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 28% to a draw, and 30% to an New England Revolution win.