Liga MX
· Clausura - 14
April 12, 2026 03:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlas a 39% win probability (draw 29%, Monterrey 31%). The final result was Atlas 0–0 Monterrey. In 1 previous meetings, Atlas have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Monterrey.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
5
0.62
Actual xG
0.91
3
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
6
Corners
4
11
Tackles
6
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
A. Gonzalez
13'
E. Aguirre
61'
63'
S. Canales
/
L. Ocampos
V. H. Rios De Alba
65'
P. Ramirez
/ M. E. Garcia
69'
A. Rocha
/ E. Zaldivar
74'
E. Aguirre
/ A. Rodriguez
75'
A. Gonzalez
/ L. Gamboa
75'
76'
E. Aguirre
/
R. Chavez
77'
R. de la Rosa
/
J. Corona
79'
E. Aguirre
D. Gonzalez
/ S. Hernandez
86'
89'
C. Reyes
/
L. Orellano
Pre-match prediction
39.45%
Atlas
29.43%
X ←
31.12%
Monterrey
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
0.62
-0.6
1.02
0.91
-0.11
xG dominance was balanced (0.62 – 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
21
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
28
Manuel Capasso
D
Manuel Capasso
D
13
Gaddi Aguirre
D
Gaddi Aguirre
D
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
M
Gustavo Ferrareis
M
15
Paulo Ramírez
69'
M
Paulo Ramírez
69'
M
26
Aldo Rocha
74'
M
Aldo Rocha
74'
M
27
Victor Rios
M
Victor Rios
M
11
Diego González
86'
M
Diego González
86'
M
19
Eduardo Aguirre
75'
F
Eduardo Aguirre
75'
F
58
Arturo González
75'
F
Arturo González
75'
F
Bench
6
Edgar Zaldívar
16'
M
Edgar Zaldívar
16'
M
251
Luis Gamboa
15'
F
Luis Gamboa
15'
F
199
Sergio Hernandez
12'
M
Sergio Hernandez
12'
M
22
G
21
L. Reyes
D
13
Carlos Salcedo
D
4
V. Guzman
D
2
R. Chavez
76'
D
8
Óliver Torres
M
5
F. Ambriz
M
29
L. Ocampos
63'
M
17
J. Corona
77'
M
11
L. Orellano
89'
M
20
U. Djurdjevic
F
Bench
194
C. Reyes
9'
M
14
E. Aguirre
14'
M
33
S. Medina
D
Best on the pitch
Manuel Capasso
D · Atlas
8.50
2 shots
· 41 pass
L. Reyes
D · Monterrey
7.70
· 62 pass
V. Guzman
D · Monterrey
7.50
· 39 pass
Carlos Salcedo
D · Monterrey
7.50
· 70 pass
G · Monterrey
7.30
· 41 pass
Diego González
M · Atlas
7.30
3 shots
· 28 pass
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Rodrigo Schlegel | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Manuel Capasso | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Gaddi Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Aldo Rocha | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Rios | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego González | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Aguirre | F | 75 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Arturo González | F | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Edgar Zaldívar | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Luis Gamboa | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Hernandez | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Monterrey — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — | |
| L. Reyes | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 62 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Salcedo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 70 | 58% | — | — | — |
| V. Guzman | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Chavez | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Óliver Torres | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Ambriz | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 39% | — | — | — |
| L. Ocampos | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Corona | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Orellano | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| U. Djurdjevic | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| C. Reyes | M | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| E. Aguirre | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlas vs Monterrey?
The final score was Atlas 0–0 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Atlas vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Atlas win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Monterrey win.