Copa del Rey
· Final
April 18, 2026 21:00
Ademola Lookman
(ast. Antoine Griezmann)
18'
Julián Alvarez
(ast. Thiago Almada)
83'
1'
(ast. Goncalo Guedes)
Ander Barrenetxea
(pen.)
45'+1
Mikel Oyarzabal
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 44% win probability (draw 20%, Real Sociedad 35%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 2–2 Real Sociedad. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Sociedad.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
6
4
Saves
2
63%
Possession
37%
5
Corners
6
23
Tackles
24
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
1'
ast. Goncalo Guedes ·
Ander Barrenetxea⚽
⚽Ademola Lookman
· ast. Antoine Griezmann
18'
30'
Mikel Oyarzabal
Robin Le Normand
33'
Juan Musso
43'
45'+1
(pen.)
Mikel Oyarzabal⚽
Matteo Ruggeri
/ Alexander Sorloth
62'
Ademola Lookman
/ Nicolás González
62'
68'
Pablo Marín
/
Ander Barrenetxea
68'
Jon Gorrotxategi
/
Beñat Turrientes
Antoine Griezmann
/ Thiago Almada
70'
Giuliano Simeone
/ Alejandro Baena
70'
Nahuel Molina
/ Johnny Cardoso
78'
78'
Orri Steinn Óskarsson
/
Mikel Oyarzabal
78'
Aihen Muñoz
/
Goncalo Guedes
⚽Julián Alvarez
· ast. Thiago Almada
83'
88'
Takefusa Kubo
/
Sergio Gómez
Marcos Llorente
/ Clément Lenglet
99'
113'
Aritz Elustondo
/
Jon Aramburu
120'+1
Aritz Elustondo
120'
Jon Gorrotxategi
Pre-match prediction
44.51%
Atletico
20.33%
X ←
35.16%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.33%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.08
—
—
2.39
—
—
Lineups
1
Juan Musso
G
Juan Musso
G
3
Matteo Ruggeri
62'
D
Matteo Ruggeri
62'
D
24
Robin Le Normand
D
Robin Le Normand
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
16
N. Molina
78'
D
N. Molina
78'
D
22
Ademola Lookman
1 ⚽
62'
M
Ademola Lookman
1 ⚽
62'
M
6
Koke
M
Koke
M
14
Marcos Llorente
M
Marcos Llorente
M
20
G. Simeone
70'
M
G. Simeone
70'
M
19
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
7
Antoine Griezmann
1 👟
70'
F
Antoine Griezmann
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
10
Álex Baena
50'
M
Álex Baena
50'
M
9
A. Sørloth
58'
F
A. Sørloth
58'
F
15
Clément Lenglet
21'
D
Clément Lenglet
21'
D
32
Javier Boñar
D
Javier Boñar
D
5
J. Cardoso
42'
M
23
N. González
58'
F
N. González
58'
F
21
Obed Vargas
M
Obed Vargas
M
8
P. Barrios
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
11
T. Almada
1 👟
50'
M
T. Almada
1 👟
50'
M
13
G
17
Sergio Gómez
88'
D
Sergio Gómez
88'
D
16
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
Duje Ćaleta-Car
D
31
Jon Martin
D
Jon Martin
D
2
J. Aramburu
D
J. Aramburu
D
18
Carlos Soler
M
Carlos Soler
M
8
Beñat Turrientes
68'
M
Beñat Turrientes
68'
M
11
Gonçalo Guedes
1 👟
78'
M
Gonçalo Guedes
1 👟
78'
M
24
Luka Sučić
M
Luka Sučić
M
7
Ander Barrenetxea
1 ⚽
68'
M
Ander Barrenetxea
1 ⚽
68'
M
10
Mikel Oyarzabal
1 ⚽
78'
F
Mikel Oyarzabal
1 ⚽
78'
F
Bench
3
Aihen Muñoz
42'
D
Aihen Muñoz
42'
D
6
Aritz Elustondo
8'
D
Aritz Elustondo
8'
D
23
Brais Méndez
M
Brais Méndez
M
4
Jon Gorrotxategi
52'
M
Jon Gorrotxategi
52'
M
9
O. Óskarsson
42'
F
O. Óskarsson
42'
F
15
Pablo Marín
52'
M
Pablo Marín
52'
M
14
Takefusa Kubo
32'
F
Takefusa Kubo
32'
F
Best on the pitch
Koke
M · Atletico
8.20
· 133 pass
Ademola Lookman
M · Atletico
8.00
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 13 pass
Marcos Llorente
M · Atletico
7.90
1 shots
· 45 pass
J. Álvarez
F · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 46 pass
Ander Barrenetxea
M · Real
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Gonçalo Guedes
M · Real
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 23 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Musso | G | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 120 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ademola Lookman | M | 62 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Koke | M | 120 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 133 | 121% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 99 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 43% | 6 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 120 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 46 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 58 | 5.30 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 42 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| N. González | F | 58 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Almada | M | 50 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
Real Sociedad — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 120 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 55 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Sergio Gómez | D | 88 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Duje Ćaleta-Car | D | 120 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Jon Martin | D | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Aramburu | D | 113 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| Carlos Soler | M | 120 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Beñat Turrientes | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Guedes | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Luka Sučić | M | 120 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Ander Barrenetxea | M | 68 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | F | 78 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aihen Muñoz | D | 42 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Aritz Elustondo | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Jon Gorrotxategi | M | 52 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Óskarsson | F | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Marín | M | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Takefusa Kubo | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 2–2 Real Sociedad.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 20% to a draw, and 35% to an Real Sociedad win.