Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 21:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Coritiba 30%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Coritiba.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.13
53%
Possession
47%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
38.99%
Atletico ←
30.79%
X
30.22%
Coritiba
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
38.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.41
0.86
-0.55
0.98
0.13
-0.85
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 30% to a draw, and 30% to an Coritiba win.