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Aubstadt - Bayreuth

Regionalliga - Bayern May 16, 2026 12:00
Aubstadt
#8 · 46 pts
vs
Bayreuth
#13 · 38 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌧️ Light showers 9.5°C 💨 13 km/h · Aubstadt
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.08%
Win
Aubstadt
22.6%
Draw
34.32%
Win
Bayreuth
1.64
Expected xG
1.53

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Aubstadt a 43% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Bayreuth. Expected goals are 1.6 for Aubstadt and 1.5 for Bayreuth (total 3.2), with a 71% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Aubstadt have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Bayreuth.

Score Matrix
↕ Aubstadt Bayreuth →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.9% 10.5% 8.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.7% 6.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —
Recent form
Aubstadt Aubstadt
L Schwaben Augsburg 3–1
D Hankofen-Hailing 1–1
L Bayern München II 1–0
W Eichstätt 1–0
D Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 26%
Bayreuth Bayreuth
D Nürnberg II 0–0
L Augsburg II 3–1
L SpVgg Unterhaching 2–3
D Würzburger Kickers 1–1
W Vilzing 3–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Aubstadt Aubstadt
Attack
25
Defence
71
Form
46
Bayreuth Bayreuth
Attack
34
Defence
63
Form
40
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
1
Aubstadt
0
Draw
0
Bayreuth
W 7 Nov 2025 Regionalliga - Bayern 3–2
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Nürnberg II Nürnberg II 33 76
2 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 33 72
3 SpVgg Unterhaching SpVgg Unterhaching 33 67
4 Illertissen Illertissen 33 61
5 Eichstätt Eichstätt 33 48
6 Vilzing Vilzing 33 48
7 Wacker Burghausen Wacker Burghausen 33 47
8 Aubstadt Aubstadt 33 46
9 Ansbach Ansbach 33 46
10 Bayern München II Bayern München II 33 44
11 Buchbach Buchbach 33 43
12 Memmingen Memmingen 33 39
13 Bayreuth Bayreuth 33 38
14 Augsburg II Augsburg II 33 34
15 Schwaben Augsburg Schwaben Augsburg 33 34
16 Greuther Fürth II Greuther Fürth II 33 28
17 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 33 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing Hankofen-Hailing 33 22
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
The model gives Aubstadt a 43% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 34% for an Bayreuth win.
How many goals are expected in Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
Expected goals: Aubstadt 1.6, Bayreuth 1.5 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 71%.
What is the most likely score in Aubstadt vs Bayreuth?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.5%.