← National 2 - Group A

Avranches - Bordeaux

National 2 - Group A May 16, 2026 18:00
#7 · 39 pts
vs
#2 · 61 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 15.1°C 💨 16 km/h 🌧️ 58% · Avranches
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.16%
Win
Avranches
21.94%
Draw
40.9%
Win
Bordeaux
1.87
Expected xG
1.94

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bordeaux a 40% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Avranches. Expected goals are 1.9 for Avranches and 1.9 for Bordeaux (total 3.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.1% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Avranches have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Bordeaux.

Score Matrix
↕ Avranches Bordeaux →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.2% 4.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
1 4.2% 8.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.5% 7.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.4% 4.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
4 1.1% 2.2% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
D Granville 1–1
D Les Herbiers 3–3
L Bayonne 0–2
W Montlouis 1–2
L Dinan Léhon 0–1
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 19%
W Les Herbiers 1–0
W Bayonne 1–2
W Montlouis 4–1
W Dinan Léhon 1–3
L Lorient II 2–3
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Avranches Avranches
Attack
40
Defence
62
Form
47
Bordeaux Bordeaux
Attack
48
Defence
67
Form
64
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Avranches
1
Draw
0
Bordeaux
D 16 Aug 2025 National 2 - Group A 0–0
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 La Roche VF La Roche VF 29 62
2 Bordeaux Bordeaux 29 61
3 Bayonne Bayonne 29 52
4 Saint-Malo Saint-Malo 29 49
5 Les Herbiers Les Herbiers 29 46
6 Angoulême Angoulême 29 43
7 Avranches Avranches 29 39
8 Dinan Léhon Dinan Léhon 29 38
9 Chauray Chauray 29 38
10 Saint-Colomban Locminé Saint-Colomban Locminé 29 37
11 Châteaubriant Châteaubriant 29 30
12 Montlouis Montlouis 29 30
13 Lorient II Lorient II 29 30
14 Saumur Saumur 29 28
15 Granville Granville 29 26
16 Poitiers Poitiers 29 24
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Avranches vs Bordeaux?
The model gives Avranches a 37% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 40% for an Bordeaux win.
How many goals are expected in Avranches vs Bordeaux?
Expected goals: Avranches 1.9, Bordeaux 1.9 (total 3.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Avranches vs Bordeaux?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.1%.