Scottish Championship
· Regular Season - 32
April 04, 2026 16:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Partick, result Pareggio
J. Murphy
77'
(pen.)
69'
C. Loughrey
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Partick a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Ayr Utd 18%). The final result was Ayr Utd 1–1 Partick. In 3 previous meetings, Ayr Utd have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Partick.
Match statistics
Match Events
M. Rus
6'
14'
R. Crawford
B. Dempsey
20'
S. Bannigan
25'
J. Bonnar
/ B. Summers
33'
36'
L. Ashcroft
46'
C. Loughrey
/
D. O'Reilly
58'
L. Ashcroft
58'
L. Ashcroft
60'
T. Letsosa
/
R. Crawford
K. Ure
/ J. Murphy
61'
67'
R. Diack
/
A. Fitzpatrick
69'
C. Loughrey⚽
75'
C. Loughrey
⚽J. Murphy
(pen.)
77'
M. Rus
/ G. Finney
87'
90'+1
E. Ingram
90'
K. Turner
/
F. Taylor
90'
L. McBeth
/
A. Samuel
Pre-match prediction
18.42%
Ayr
24.86%
X ←
56.72%
Partick
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.86%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.66
—
—
1.88
—
—
Lineups
1
5
3
L. Dick
4
S. Want
20
L. King
33
S. McMann
17
J. Bonnar
J. Bonnar
14
K. Ure
8
B. Dempsey
6
S. Bannigan
23
M. Rus
Bench
7
A. Dowds
16
B. Summers
12
F. Turley
55
G. Finney
18
J. Hislop
15
J. Murphy
1 ⚽
12
3
17
E. Ingram
5
Lee Ashcroft
20
D. O'Reilly
14
Robbie Crawford
30
Fraser Taylor
26
Ben Stanway
24
Ben McPherson
9
Alex Samuel
21
Aidan Fitzpatrick
Bench
22
C. Loughrey
1 ⚽
64
Tsoanelo Letsosa
Ayr Utd — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| L. Dick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Want | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| L. King | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. McMann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Bonnar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| K. Ure | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| B. Dempsey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Bannigan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Rus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Partick — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| E. Ingram | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Lee Ashcroft | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. O'Reilly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Robbie Crawford | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Fraser Taylor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ben Stanway | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Ben McPherson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alex Samuel | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Aidan Fitzpatrick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ayr Utd vs Partick?
The final score was Ayr Utd 1–1 Partick.
What did the model predict before Ayr Utd vs Partick?
The model assigned 18% probability to a Ayr Utd win, 24% to a draw, and 56% to an Partick win.