Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 08, 2026 02:00
53'
(ast. Fagner)
Matheus Pereira
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona SC a 34% win probability (draw 35%, Cruzeiro 30%). The final result was Barcelona SC 0–1 Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
3
0.52
Actual xG
2.13
2
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
0
7
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
53'
ast. Fagner ·
Matheus Pereira⚽
60'
Wanderson
/
K. Arroyo
64'
Matheus Henrique
/
Gerson
M. Celiz
69'
L. Sosa
/ H. Villalba
71'
M. Celiz
/ J. Intriago
71'
74'
Chico
/
Kaio Jorge
75'
L. Villalba
/
Jonathan Jesus
79'
Matheus Henrique
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
/ T. Martinez
80'
G. Vallecilla
/ J. Mina
80'
L. Cano
/ M. Parrales
86'
90'+6
Kaiki
Pre-match prediction
34.26%
Barcelona
35.32%
X
30.42%
Cruzeiro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro)
30.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
0.52
-0.24
0.77
2.13
+1.36
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
José Contreras
G
José Contreras
G
4
Gustavo Vallecilla
80'
D
Gustavo Vallecilla
80'
D
3
Luca Sosa
71'
D
Luca Sosa
71'
D
33
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
D
Bryan Carabalí
D
28
Jhonny Quiñónez
80'
M
Jhonny Quiñónez
80'
M
32
Matias Lugo
M
Matias Lugo
M
8
M. Céliz
71'
M
M. Céliz
71'
M
9
D. Benedetto
F
D. Benedetto
F
16
L. Cano
86'
F
Bench
26
Byron Castillo
D
Byron Castillo
D
21
H. Villalba
19'
F
H. Villalba
19'
F
7
Jandry Gomez
M
Jandry Gomez
M
35
Jefferson Intriago
19'
M
Jefferson Intriago
19'
M
44
Jhonnier Chalá
D
Jhonnier Chalá
D
11
Miguel Parrales
11'
F
Miguel Parrales
11'
F
23
T. Martínez
10'
M
T. Martínez
10'
M
31
Matheus Cunha
G
Matheus Cunha
G
6
Kaiki
D
34
Jonathan Jesus
75'
D
Jonathan Jesus
75'
D
15
Fabrício Bruno
D
Fabrício Bruno
D
23
Fagner
1 👟
D
Fagner
1 👟
D
16
Lucas Silva
M
Lucas Silva
M
11
Gerson
64'
M
Gerson
64'
M
88
Christian
M
Christian
M
10
Matheus Pereira
1 ⚽
M
Matheus Pereira
1 ⚽
M
99
K. Arroyo
60'
M
19
Kaio Jorge
74'
F
Kaio Jorge
74'
F
Bench
2
Kauã Moraes
D
Kauã Moraes
D
25
Lucas Villalba
15'
D
Lucas Villalba
15'
D
8
Matheus Henrique
26'
M
Matheus Henrique
26'
M
22
Néiser Villarreal
M
Néiser Villarreal
M
94
Wanderson
30'
F
Wanderson
30'
F
12
William Furtado
D
Best on the pitch
Fagner
D · Cruzeiro
8.30
1 👟
· 28 pass
Matheus Pereira
M · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 37 pass
Kaiki
D · Cruzeiro
7.60
· 43 pass
Wanderson
F · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 7 pass
José Contreras
G · Barcelona
7.30
· 21 pass
Lucas Silva
M · Cruzeiro
7.20
· 50 pass
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Contreras | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Vallecilla | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Luca Sosa | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | — | — | — | |
| A. Rangel | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonny Quiñónez | M | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Matias Lugo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Céliz | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| L. Cano | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Intriago | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Miguel Parrales | F | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Martínez | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
Cruzeiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Kaiki | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Jesus | D | 75 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Bruno | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Fagner | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Silva | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Gerson | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Christian | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 37 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Arroyo | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaio Jorge | F | 74 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Henrique | M | 26 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Wanderson | F | 30 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Barcelona SC 0–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 35% to a draw, and 30% to an Cruzeiro win.