Serie B
· Regular Season - 35
April 18, 2026 15:00
✓Model correct — prediction Venezia
19'
R. Haps
45'+1
R. Haps
52'
A. Adorante
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Venezia a 68% win probability (draw 16%, Bari 15%). The final result was Bari 0–3 Venezia. In 1 previous meetings, Bari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Venezia.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
7
0.46
Actual xG
2.14
4
Saves
2
28%
Possession
72%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
19'
R. Haps⚽
E. Rao
43'
45'+1
R. Haps⚽
A. Cistana
/ G. Stabile
46'
52'
A. Adorante⚽
64'
L. Lauberbach
/
A. Adorante
64'
R. Sagrado
/
A. Hainaut
D. Traore
/ G. De Pieri
66'
G. Maggiore
/ R. Pagano
66'
G. Moncini
/ C. Gytkjaer
66'
E. Rao
/ M. Cuni
72'
76'
N. Lella
/
I. Doumbia
76'
M. Dagasso
/
K. Perez
85'
A. Duncan
/
G. Busio
Pre-match prediction
15.14%
Bari
16.08%
X
68.77%
Venezia ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Venezia)
68.77%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
0.46
-0.36
2.69
2.14
-0.55
Venezia dominated by xG (2.14 vs 0.46).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
31
G
13
V. Mantovani
D
26
C. Odenthal
D
51
A. Cistana
45'
D
28
K. Piscopo
M
27
M. Braunoder
M
18
Giulio Maggiore
65'
M
66
D. Traore
65'
M
30
Balla Moussa Mane
M
17
71'
F
11
G. Moncini
66'
F
G. Moncini
66'
F
Bench
43
D. Nikolaou
D
80
F. Artioli
M
90
M. Cuni
19'
F
8
R. Pagano
25'
M
1
G
33
M. Sverko
D
30
M. Svoboda
D
2
D
5
R. Haps
2 ⚽
M
8
I. Doumbia
76'
M
I. Doumbia
76'
M
6
G. Busio
85'
M
71
Kike Pérez
76'
M
Kike Pérez
76'
M
18
A. Hainaut
64'
M
9
A. Adorante
1 ⚽
64'
F
A. Adorante
1 ⚽
64'
F
10
J. Yeboah
F
J. Yeboah
F
Bench
29
L. Lauberbach
26'
F
21
M. Compagnon
M
20
R. Sagrado
26'
D
Best on the pitch
R. Haps
M · Venezia
8.50
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 30 pass
G · Venezia
7.70
· 55 pass
A. Adorante
F · Venezia
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
D · Venezia
7.60
· 63 pass
J. Yeboah
F · Venezia
7.50
3 shots
· 39 pass
Kike Pérez
M · Venezia
7.20
1 shots
· 67 pass
Bari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| V. Mantovani | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Cistana | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| K. Piscopo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Braunoder | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Giulio Maggiore | M | 65 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| D. Traore | M | 65 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Balla Moussa Mane | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — | |
| G. Moncini | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| M. Cuni | F | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| R. Pagano | M | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Venezia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 54% | — | — | — | |
| M. Sverko | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Svoboda | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 93 | 90% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 63 | 58% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Haps | M | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 3 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| I. Doumbia | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| G. Busio | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 76 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hainaut | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Adorante | F | 64 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 39 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Lauberbach | F | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| R. Sagrado | D | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bari vs Venezia?
The final score was Bari 0–3 Venezia.
What did the model predict before Bari vs Venezia?
The model assigned 15% probability to a Bari win, 16% to a draw, and 68% to an Venezia win.