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Bate Borisov - Dinamo Minsk

Premier League May 16, 2026 19:00
Bate Borisov
#14 · 5 pts
vs
Dinamo Minsk
#2 · 16 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.43%
Win
Bate Borisov
32.99%
Draw
34.58%
Win
Dinamo Minsk
0.64
Expected xG
1.9

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Dinamo Minsk a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Bate Borisov. Expected goals are 0.6 for Bate Borisov and 1.9 for Dinamo Minsk (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.9% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Bate Borisov Dinamo Minsk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9% 14.9% 14.2% 9.0% 4.3% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.6% 9.1% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 1.6% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — —
5 — — — — — —
Recent form
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
D Naftan 0–0
L Dinamo Brest 0–3
L FC Minsk 1–0
L ML Vitebsk 1–2
L FC Vitebsk 1–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 29%
Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk
W Dinamo Brest 1–2
L ML Vitebsk 2–3
W Baranovichi 2–3
D FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–1
W Torpedo Zhodino 0–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 26%
Playing profile
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
Attack
13
Defence
74
Form
35
Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk
Attack
47
Defence
70
Form
67
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 7 17
2 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 7 16
3 FC Gomel FC Gomel 8 14
4 Neman Neman 7 14
5 FC Minsk FC Minsk 7 13
6 Arsenal Arsenal 7 11
7 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 7 10
8 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 7 9
9 FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R. 7 9
10 FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk 7 9
11 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 7 6
12 FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 7 6
13 Belshina Belshina 7 6
14 Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 7 5
15 Baranovichi Baranovichi 8 5
16 Naftan Naftan 7 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
The model gives Bate Borisov a 32% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 34% for an Dinamo Minsk win.
How many goals are expected in Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
Expected goals: Bate Borisov 0.6, Dinamo Minsk 1.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.9%.