DFB Pokal
· Semi-finals
April 22, 2026 20:45
22'
(ast. J. Musiala)
H. Kane
90'+3
(ast. L. Goretzka)
L. Diaz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bayern München a 53% win probability (draw 16%, Bayer Leverkusen 30%). The final result was Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern München. In 2 previous meetings, Bayer Leverkusen have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bayern München.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
16
1
Shots on target
11
8
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
ast. J. Musiala ·
H. Kane⚽
E. Tapsoba
38'
Lucas
/ E. Poku
39'
43'
A. Pavlovic
73'
L. Goretzka
/
A. Pavlovic
74'
A. Davies
/
K. Laimer
A. Grimaldo
76'
N. Tella
/ M. Culbreath
77'
84'
Kim Min-Jae
/
J. Musiala
R. Andrich
/ M. Tillman
84'
90'+3
ast. L. Goretzka ·
L. Diaz⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.06%
Bayer
16.46%
X
53.48%
Bayern ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
53.48%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.18
—
—
3.76
—
—
Lineups
1
G
12
E. Tapsoba
D
E. Tapsoba
D
8
R. Andrich
84'
D
R. Andrich
84'
D
4
J. Quansah
D
20
A. Grimaldo
M
24
Aleix García
M
Aleix García
M
25
E. Palacios
M
E. Palacios
M
21
Lucas
39'
M
23
N. Tella
77'
F
30
I. Maza
F
I. Maza
F
14
P. Schick
F
P. Schick
F
Bench
6
E. Fernandez
M
19
E. Poku
51'
F
E. Poku
51'
F
28
J. Blaswich
G
42
M. Culbreath
13'
M
10
M. Tillman
10'
M
M. Tillman
10'
M
1
M. Neuer
G
27
K. Laimer
74'
D
K. Laimer
74'
D
4
Jonathan Tah
D
2
D. Upamecano
D
D. Upamecano
D
44
J. Stanisic
D
45
A. Pavlović
73'
M
A. Pavlović
73'
M
6
J. Kimmich
M
J. Kimmich
M
14
L. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
L. Díaz
1 ⚽
M
10
J. Musiala
1 👟
84'
M
J. Musiala
1 👟
84'
M
17
M. Olise
M
M. Olise
M
9
H. Kane
1 ⚽
F
H. Kane
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Davies
16'
D
39
B. Ndiaye
F
21
H. Ito
D
3
Kim Min-Jae
10'
D
8
Leon Goretzka
1 👟
17'
M
11
N. Jackson
F
22
R. Guerreiro
D
Best on the pitch
G · Bayer
9.30
· 31 pass
L. Díaz
M · Bayern
8.30
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 36 pass
H. Kane
F · Bayern
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 22 pass
J. Kimmich
M · Bayern
7.60
1 shots
· 112 pass
R. Andrich
D · Bayer
7.50
· 45 pass
M. Neuer
G · Bayern
7.50
· 27 pass
Bayer Leverkusen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Andrich | D | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Quansah | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 56 | 46% | — | — | — |
| A. Grimaldo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 55% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Aleix García | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 77 | 70% | — | — | — |
| E. Palacios | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 76 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| Lucas | M | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| N. Tella | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| I. Maza | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Schick | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Poku | F | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Culbreath | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Bayern München — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Neuer | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| K. Laimer | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Jonathan Tah | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Upamecano | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 53% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Stanisic | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pavlović | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Kimmich | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 112 | 97% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Díaz | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 4 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Musiala | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 36 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Olise | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | — | — | — |
| H. Kane | F | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 5 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Davies | D | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kim Min-Jae | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Leon Goretzka | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München?
The final score was Bayer Leverkusen 0–2 Bayern München.
What did the model predict before Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern München?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Bayer Leverkusen win, 16% to a draw, and 53% to an Bayern München win.