Bayonne - Saumur

National 2 - Group A May 16, 2026 18:00

Bayonne

#3 · 52 pts

18:00

vs

Saumur

#14 · 28 pts

Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 16.2°C 💨 14 km/h 🌧️ 45% · Bayonne

⚡ Pre-match analysis

78.28%

Win

Bayonne

14.34%

Draw

7.38%

Win

Saumur

2.41

Expected xG

0.45

Model prediction

Bayonne

78.28%

Probability

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bayonne a 78% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Saumur. Expected goals are 2.4 for Bayonne and 0.4 for Saumur (total 2.9), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–0 at 16.7% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Bayonne have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Saumur.

Score Matrix

↕ Bayonne Saumur →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.7%	2.6%	0.6%	0.1%	—	—
1	13.8%	6.2%	1.4%	0.2%	—	—
2	16.7%	7.4%	1.7%	0.2%	—	—
3	13.4%	6.0%	1.3%	0.2%	—	—
4	8.1%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%	—	—
5	3.9%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	—	—

Recent form

Bayonne

L Châteaubriant 2–1

L Bordeaux 1–2

W Avranches 0–2

W Les Herbiers 2–1

D Granville 0–0

Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 47%

Saumur

D Montlouis 0–0

L Dinan Léhon 6–0

D Lorient II 2–2

D Saint-Colomban Locminé 0–0

L Chauray 1–3

Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%

Playing profile

Bayonne

Attack

34

Defence

74

Form

57

Saumur

Attack

18

Defence

48

Form

26

Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1

Bayonne

0

Draw

0

Saumur

W 16 Aug 2025 National 2 - Group A 1–0

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	La Roche VF	29	62
2	Bordeaux	29	61
3	Bayonne	29	52
4	Saint-Malo	29	49
5	Les Herbiers	29	46
6	Angoulême	29	43
7	Avranches	29	39
8	Dinan Léhon	29	38
9	Chauray	29	38
10	Saint-Colomban Locminé	29	37
11	Châteaubriant	29	30
12	Montlouis	29	30
13	Lorient II	29	30
14	Saumur	29	28
15	Granville	29	26
16	Poitiers	29	24