División Profesional
· Apertura - 3
April 22, 2026 04:00
J. Sagredo
(ast. Robson Matheus)
45'
38'
(ast. J. Villavicencio)
Willie
64'
(ast. R. Cardozo)
J. E. Cristaldo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bolívar a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Independiente Petrolero 27%). The final result was Bolívar 1–2 Independiente Petrolero.
Match statistics
16
Shots on target
3
80%
Possession
20%
7
Corners
1
Match Events
3'
A. Mercado
⚽M. Cauteruccio
(missed pen.)
4'
33'
D. Vargas
J. Garcia
33'
38'
ast. J. Villavicencio ·
Willie⚽
⚽J. Sagredo
· ast. Robson Matheus
45'
Robson Matheus
/ C. A. Melgar
46'
46'
R. Cardozo
/
A. Mercado
48'
L. Palma
X. Arreaga
63'
64'
ast. R. Cardozo ·
J. E. Cristaldo⚽
66'
Willie
E. Saavedra
/ B. Oyola
67'
J. Velasquez
/ D. Romero
67'
70'
R. Zamora
/
J. Villavicencio
70'
G. Cristaldo
/
J. E. Cristaldo
M. Cauteruccio
72'
E. Vaca Moreno
/ L. Justiniano
77'
J. Garcia
/ L. L. Chavez Cruz
77'
79'
D. Navarro
/
Willie
87'
H. Leanos
/
F. Rodriguez
90'+3
G. Cristaldo
L. L. Chavez Cruz
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
43.27%
Bolívar
28.76%
X
27.96%
Independiente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Independiente Petrolero)
27.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.92
—
—
1.08
—
—
Lineups
35
26
E. Saavedra
1
C. Lampe
3
X. Arreaga
5
S. Echeverria
4
José Sagredo
1 ⚽
6
E. Vaca Moreno
14
Robson Matheus
1 👟
7
J. Velasquez
9
M. Cauteruccio
19
J. Garcia
Bench
11
B. Oyola
80
C. A. Melgar
77
D. Romero
33
F. Mena
2
José Sagredo
1 ⚽
23
Leonel Justiniano
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz
8
L. Paz
1
13
L. Montenegro
5
L. Palma
16
R. Montero
4
F. Rodriguez
50
D. Vargas
6
Daniel Rojas
59
J. Villavicencio
1 👟
93
Willie
1 ⚽
20
A. Mercado
9
J. E. Cristaldo
1 ⚽
Bench
27
D. Navarro
19
G. Cristaldo
32
H. Leanos
7
R. Cardozo
1 👟
11
R. Lutkowski
23
R. Rivas
Bolívar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| E. Saavedra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| C. Lampe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| X. Arreaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| S. Echeverria | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| José Sagredo | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| E. Vaca Moreno | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Robson Matheus | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Velasquez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| M. Cauteruccio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Garcia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Independiente Petrolero — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| L. Montenegro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| L. Palma | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| R. Montero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| F. Rodriguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D. Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Rojas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. Villavicencio | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Willie | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| A. Mercado | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| J. E. Cristaldo | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bolívar vs Independiente Petrolero?
The final score was Bolívar 1–2 Independiente Petrolero.
What did the model predict before Bolívar vs Independiente Petrolero?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Bolívar win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Independiente Petrolero win.