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Boston River - Cerro

Primera División May 16, 2026 17:00
Boston River
#8 · 0 pts
vs
Cerro
#1 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
64.82%
Win
Boston River
21.5%
Draw
13.67%
Win
Cerro
1.73
Expected xG
0.52
Model prediction
Boston River
64.82%
Probability
63.6%
1X2 accuracy · 11 predictions (3 months)

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Boston River a 64% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 13% for Cerro. Expected goals are 1.7 for Boston River and 0.5 for Cerro (total 2.2), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Boston River have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cerro.

Score Matrix
↕ Boston River Cerro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% — —
1 18.3% 9.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% —
2 15.8% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% — —
3 9.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% — —
4 3.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% — —
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% — — —
Recent form
Boston River Boston River
L Deportivo Maldonado 2–1
W Central Espanol 2–1
L Atletico Torque 4–1
W Cerro Largo 1–0
L Defensor Sporting 2–0
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 27%
Cerro Cerro
L Club Nacional 4–0
L Deportivo Maldonado 0–1
L Central Espanol 3–1
D Atletico Torque 1–1
D Cerro Largo 1–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 12%
Playing profile
Boston River Boston River
Attack
34
Defence
59
Form
52
Cerro Cerro
Attack
15
Defence
57
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Boston River
1
Draw
0
Cerro
D 28 Feb 2026 Primera División 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 15 31
1 Club Nacional Club Nacional 0 0
1 Cerro Cerro 0 0
2 Progreso Progreso 0 0
2 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 0 0
2 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 15 29
3 Albion FC Albion FC 15 28
3 Central Espanol Central Espanol 0 0
3 Danubio Danubio 0 0
4 Penarol Penarol 15 27
4 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 0 0
4 Wanderers Wanderers 0 0
5 Central Espanol Central Espanol 15 24
5 Penarol Penarol 0 0
5 Juventud Juventud 0 0
6 Racing Montevideo Racing Montevideo 0 0
6 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0 0
6 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 15 23
7 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0 0
7 Club Nacional Club Nacional 15 22
7 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 0 0
8 Albion FC Albion FC 0 0
8 Boston River Boston River 0 0
8 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 15 21
9 Liverpool Montevideo Liverpool Montevideo 15 20
10 Wanderers Wanderers 15 20
11 Danubio Danubio 15 18
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 15 17
13 Boston River Boston River 15 17
14 Juventud Juventud 15 15
15 Progreso Progreso 15 10
16 Cerro Cerro 15 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Boston River vs Cerro?
The model gives Boston River a 64% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 13% for an Cerro win.
How many goals are expected in Boston River vs Cerro?
Expected goals: Boston River 1.7, Cerro 0.5 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Boston River vs Cerro?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.3%.