Serie A
· Regular Season - 36
May 09, 2026 15:00
56'
(ast. H. Kamara)
A. Buksa
90'+6
(ast. K. Davis)
I. Gueye
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Udinese a 40% win probability (draw 33%, Cagliari 25%). The final result was Cagliari 0–2 Udinese. In 1 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Udinese.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
8
5
Shots on target
6
1.41
Actual xG
2.17
4
Saves
3
63%
Possession
37%
8
Corners
4
14
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
44'
K. Ehizibue
J. Pedro
53'
55'
N. Bertola
/
B. Mlacic
55'
L. Miller
/
J. Piotrowski
56'
ast. H. Kamara ·
A. Buksa⚽
J. Pedro
/ I. Sulemana
62'
M. Palestra
/ G. Zappa
62'
65'
K. Davis
/
A. Buksa
M. Folorunsho
/ A. Albarracin
73'
78'
I. Gueye
/
N. Zaniolo
78'
J. Arizala
/
K. Ehizibue
M. Adopo
/ A. Belotti
88'
A. Obert
/ Y. Trepy
88'
90'+2
K. Davis
90'+6
ast. K. Davis ·
I. Gueye⚽
Pre-match prediction
25.93%
Cagliari
33.57%
X
40.5%
Udinese ←
we assigned to the actual result (Udinese)
40.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.76
1.41
+0.65
1.16
2.17
+1.01
Udinese dominated by xG (2.17 vs 1.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
A. Obert
88'
D
A. Obert
88'
D
15
J. Rodriguez
D
22
D
32
J. Pedro
62'
D
2
M. Palestra
62'
D
90
M. Folorunsho
73'
M
10
G. Gaetano
M
8
M. Adopo
88'
M
31
P. Mendy
F
94
S. Esposito
F
S. Esposito
F
Bench
14
A. Deiola
M
25
I. Sulemana
28'
M
40
G
28
D
31
T. Kristensen
D
22
B. Mlacic
54'
D
11
H. Kamara
1 👟
M
14
A. Atta
M
8
Jesper Karlström
M
24
J. Piotrowski
54'
M
19
K. Ehizibue
78'
M
18
A. Buksa
1 ⚽
65'
F
10
N. Zaniolo
78'
F
N. Zaniolo
78'
F
Bench
7
I. Gueye
1 ⚽
12'
F
9
K. Davis
1 👟
25'
F
K. Davis
1 👟
25'
F
38
L. Miller
36'
M
6
O. Zarraga
M
Best on the pitch
G · Udinese
8.60
· 30 pass
Jesper Karlström
M · Udinese
8.20
· 36 pass
B. Mlacic
D · Udinese
7.90
· 25 pass
H. Kamara
M · Udinese
7.70
1 👟
· 23 pass
T. Kristensen
D · Udinese
7.30
· 25 pass
S. Esposito
F · Cagliari
7.30
3 shots
· 43 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 58% | 3 | — | — | |
| J. Pedro | D | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Palestra | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | — | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 84 | 67% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | — | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 43 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 25% | — | — | — |
Udinese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 3 | — | — | |
| T. Kristensen | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| B. Mlacic | D | 54 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Atta | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Jesper Karlström | M | 90 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Ehizibue | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Buksa | F | 65 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | — | — | — |
| N. Zaniolo | F | 78 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| I. Gueye | F | 12 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Davis | F | 25 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Miller | M | 36 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Udinese?
The final score was Cagliari 0–2 Udinese.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Udinese?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Cagliari win, 33% to a draw, and 40% to an Udinese win.