Serie C - Promotion Play-offs
· Promotion Play-offs - 2nd Round
May 06, 2026 20:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Casertana, result Pareggio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Casertana a 58% win probability (draw 22%, Crotone 19%). The final result was Casertana 1–1 Crotone. In 2 previous meetings, Casertana have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Crotone.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
58.14%
Casertana
22.31%
X ←
19.55%
Crotone
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.13
—
—
1.15
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Casertana vs Crotone?
The final score was Casertana 1–1 Crotone.
What did the model predict before Casertana vs Crotone?
The model assigned 58% probability to a Casertana win, 22% to a draw, and 19% to an Crotone win.