Castellón - Cadiz
Segunda División
May 15, 2026 20:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
82.21%
Win
Castellón
10.28%
Draw
7.51%
Win
Cadiz
3.29
0.68
Expected xG
Model prediction
Castellón
82.21%
Probability
67.3%
1X2 accuracy · 52 predictions (3 months)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Castellón a 82% win probability, against 10% for a draw and 7% for Cadiz. Expected goals are 3.3 for Castellón and 0.7 for Cadiz (total 4.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–0 at 11.2% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Castellón have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cadiz.
Score Matrix
↕ Castellón
Cadiz →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 11.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Castellón
Attack
49
Defence
61
Form
61
Cadiz
Attack
20
Defence
50
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
L
21 Dec 2025
0–2
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
39 | 75 |
| 2 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
39 | 71 |
| 3 |
Almeria
|
39 | 71 |
| 4 |
Malaga
|
39 | 66 |
| 5 |
Las Palmas
|
39 | 66 |
| 6 |
Castellón
|
39 | 65 |
| 7 |
Eibar
|
39 | 64 |
| 8 |
Burgos
|
39 | 63 |
| 9 |
Cordoba
|
39 | 60 |
| 10 |
FC Andorra
|
39 | 58 |
| 11 |
AD Ceuta FC
|
39 | 55 |
| 12 |
Albacete
|
39 | 53 |
| 13 |
Sporting Gijon
|
39 | 52 |
| 14 |
Granada CF
|
39 | 48 |
| 15 |
Valladolid
|
39 | 46 |
| 16 |
Real Sociedad II
|
39 | 45 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
39 | 42 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
39 | 39 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
39 | 36 |
| 20 |
Mirandes
|
39 | 36 |
| 21 |
Zaragoza
|
39 | 35 |
| 22 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
39 | 33 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Castellón vs Cadiz?
The model gives Castellón a 82% win probability, 10% for a draw, and 7% for an Cadiz win.
How many goals are expected in Castellón vs Cadiz?
Expected goals: Castellón 3.3, Cadiz 0.7 (total 4.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Castellón vs Cadiz?
3–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.