La Liga
· Regular Season - 36
May 12, 2026 19:00
F. Jutgla
(ast. H. Alvarez)
4'
F. Jutgla
(ast. J. Rueda)
48'
43'
(ast. J. Toljan)
K. Arriaga
57'
(ast. K. Arriaga)
Dela
63'
(ast. J. A. Olasagasti)
R. Brugue
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Celta Vigo a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Levante 33%). The final result was Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante. In 1 previous meetings, Celta Vigo have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Levante.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
6
2.10
Actual xG
1.46
3
Saves
4
57%
Possession
43%
2
Corners
4
2
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽F. Jutgla
· ast. H. Alvarez
4'
43'
ast. J. Toljan ·
K. Arriaga⚽
46'
I. Losada
/
K. Tunde
⚽F. Jutgla
· ast. J. Rueda
48'
57'
ast. K. Arriaga ·
Dela⚽
60'
D. Varela Pampin
61'
R. Brugue
/
V. Garcia
62'
U. Raghouber
/
P. Martinez
63'
ast. J. A. Olasagasti ·
R. Brugue⚽
I. Aspas
/ P. Duran
66'
H. Alvarez
/ W. Swedberg
66'
J. Rueda
/ B. Iglesias
66'
H. Sotelo
/ O. Mingueza
76'
F. Jutgla
/ J. El Abdellaoui
76'
77'
M. Sanchez
/
D. Varela Pampin
86'
I. Romero
/
C. Espi
90'
M. Ryan
Pre-match prediction
41.38%
Celta
25.04%
X
33.58%
Levante ←
we assigned to the actual result (Levante)
33.58%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
2.10
+0.82
1.32
1.46
+0.14
Celta Vigo dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Ionuț Radu
G
Ionuț Radu
G
20
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
29
Yoel Lago
D
Yoel Lago
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
5
Sergio Carreira
M
Sergio Carreira
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
76'
M
Hugo Sotelo
76'
M
8
Fer López
M
Fer López
M
17
Javi Rueda
1 👟
66'
M
Javi Rueda
1 👟
66'
M
23
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
66'
F
Hugo Álvarez
1 👟
66'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
2 ⚽
76'
F
Ferran Jutglà
2 ⚽
76'
F
10
Iago Aspas
66'
F
Iago Aspas
66'
F
Bench
14
Alvaro Núñez
D
Alvaro Núñez
D
36
Andrés Antañón
M
Andrés Antañón
M
7
Borja Iglesias
32'
F
Borja Iglesias
32'
F
24
Carlos Domínguez
D
Carlos Domínguez
D
1
Iván Villar
G
Iván Villar
G
39
Jones El-Abdellaoui
22'
F
Jones El-Abdellaoui
22'
F
4
Joseph Aidoo
D
Joseph Aidoo
D
12
Manu Fernández
D
Manu Fernández
D
21
Mihailo Ristić
D
Mihailo Ristić
D
3
Óscar Mingueza
22'
D
Óscar Mingueza
22'
D
18
Pablo Durán
32'
F
Pablo Durán
32'
F
19
Williot Swedberg
32'
M
Williot Swedberg
32'
M
13
Mathew Ryan
G
Mathew Ryan
G
6
Diego Pampín
77'
D
Diego Pampín
77'
D
2
Matias Moreno
D
Matias Moreno
D
4
Adrián de la Fuente
1 ⚽
D
Adrián de la Fuente
1 ⚽
D
22
Jeremy Toljan
1 👟
D
Jeremy Toljan
1 👟
D
16
Kervin Arriaga
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Kervin Arriaga
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
26
Kareem Tunde
45'
M
Kareem Tunde
45'
M
8
Jon Ander Olasagasti
1 👟
M
Jon Ander Olasagasti
1 👟
M
10
Pablo Martínez
62'
M
Pablo Martínez
62'
M
17
Víctor García
61'
M
Víctor García
61'
M
19
Carlos Espí
86'
F
Carlos Espí
86'
F
Bench
3
Alan Matturro
D
Alan Matturro
D
21
Etta Eyong
F
Etta Eyong
F
18
Iker Losada
53'
F
Iker Losada
53'
F
9
Iván Romero
12'
F
Iván Romero
12'
F
11
José Luis Morales
F
José Luis Morales
F
23
Manuel Sánchez
21'
D
Manuel Sánchez
21'
D
29
Nacho Pérez
D
Nacho Pérez
D
20
Oriol Rey
M
Oriol Rey
M
1
Pablo Cuñat
G
Pablo Cuñat
G
7
Roger Brugué
1 ⚽
37'
M
Roger Brugué
1 ⚽
37'
M
55
Tai Abed
F
Tai Abed
F
14
Ugo Raghouber
36'
M
Ugo Raghouber
36'
M
Best on the pitch
Ferran Jutglà
F · Celta
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 21 pass
Adrián de la Fuente
D · Levante
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 67 pass
Roger Brugué
M · Levante
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Kervin Arriaga
M · Levante
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots
· 46 pass
Óscar Mingueza
D · Celta
7.30
· 20 pass
Mathew Ryan
G · Levante
7.30
· 32 pass
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ionuț Radu | G | 98 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 100 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 66% | — | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 66 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 66 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 76 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 22 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Williot Swedberg | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Levante — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Ryan | G | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Diego Pampín | D | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matias Moreno | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Adrián de la Fuente | D | 98 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 67 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremy Toljan | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Kervin Arriaga | M | 98 | 7.70 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 46 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Kareem Tunde | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Pablo Martínez | M | 62 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Víctor García | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Espí | F | 86 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Iker Losada | F | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Iván Romero | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Sánchez | D | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Roger Brugué | M | 37 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Ugo Raghouber | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The final score was Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante.
What did the model predict before Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Celta Vigo win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Levante win.