Primera División
· Regular Season - 11
April 11, 2026 01:00
L. Correa
12'
90'+1
A. Macelli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerro Largo a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Cerro 21%). The final result was Cerro Largo 1–1 Cerro.
Match statistics
Match Events
E. Jourdan
2'
⚽L. Correa
12'
S. Franca
30'
46'
R. Mederos
/
B. Quinteros
53'
J. Amaro
M. Garcia
/ M. Anasco
68'
E. Jourdan
/ S. Assis
68'
70'
T. Rijo
/
C. Barros
74'
R. Mederos
77'
A. Cambon
/
B. Morales
D. Daguerre
/ G. Viera
78'
79'
G. Rodriguez
84'
B. Aleman
A. Pandiani
/ N. Bertocchi
89'
T. Correa
/ F. Sellecchia
89'
89'
I. Valenzuela
/
J. Amaro
89'
A. Severo
/
M. Arguello
90'+1
A. Macelli⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.19%
Cerro
26.3%
X ←
21.5%
Cerro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.74
—
—
0.64
—
—
Lineups
12
Pedro Gonzalez
G
20
Santiago Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
Lucas Correa
1 ⚽
D
17
Alexander Hernandez
M
10
Axel Pandiani
M
25
Emiliano Jourdan
M
5
Santiago Marcel
M
8
Mario García
M
9
Tiziano Correa
F
18
Diego Daguerre
F
25
G
17
D
5
Alejo Macelli
1 ⚽
M
3
D
6
Francisco Bregante
D
13
B. Quinteros
M
10
Brahian Alemán
M
31
Jairo Amaro
M
4
Mateo Argüello
D
9
B. Morales
F
27
Cristian Barros
M
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Gonzalez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Correa | D | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Hernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emiliano Jourdan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Marcel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiziano Correa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Daguerre | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cerro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Alejo Macelli | M | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Francisco Bregante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Quinteros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brahian Alemán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jairo Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Argüello | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Morales | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
The final score was Cerro Largo 1–1 Cerro.
What did the model predict before Cerro Largo vs Cerro?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Cerro Largo win, 26% to a draw, and 21% to an Cerro win.