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Charleroi - KVC Westerlo

Pro League May 16, 2026 16:00
#3 · 30 pts
vs
#4 · 30 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 12.7°C 💨 18 km/h 🌧️ 80% · Charleroi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.25%
Win
Charleroi
21.21%
Draw
31.54%
Win
KVC Westerlo
1.97
Expected xG
1.61

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Charleroi a 47% win probability, against 21% for a draw and 31% for KVC Westerlo. Expected goals are 2.0 for Charleroi and 1.6 for KVC Westerlo (total 3.6), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.8% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Charleroi have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for KVC Westerlo.

Score Matrix
↕ Charleroi KVC Westerlo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 5.5% 8.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 3.6% 5.7% 4.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Recent form
W Antwerp 0–1
W Genk 2–0
W OH Leuven 0–2
D Genk 1–1
L Standard Liege 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 31%
L Genk 3–0
D OH Leuven 3–3
L Antwerp 2–4
W OH Leuven 0–2
L Genk 1–2
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 47%
Playing profile
Charleroi Charleroi
Attack
34
Defence
66
Form
59
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
Attack
43
Defence
53
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem 36 48
1 Genk Genk 37 33
1 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 37 50
2 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 37 49
2 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 36 41
2 Standard Liege Standard Liege 37 33
3 St. Truiden St. Truiden 37 39
3 RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière 36 34
3 Charleroi Charleroi 37 30
4 Dender Dender 36 25
4 Anderlecht Anderlecht 37 29
4 KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo 37 30
5 Gent Gent 37 27
5 Antwerp Antwerp 37 27
6 KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 37 27
6 OH Leuven OH Leuven 37 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo?
The model gives Charleroi a 47% win probability, 21% for a draw, and 31% for an KVC Westerlo win.
How many goals are expected in Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo?
Expected goals: Charleroi 2.0, KVC Westerlo 1.6 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Charleroi vs KVC Westerlo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.8%.