MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 01:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Charlotte a 36% win probability (draw 30%, New York Red Bulls 32%). The final result was Charlotte 6–1 New York Red Bulls.
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
8
2.55
Actual xG
2.61
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
36.79%
Charlotte ←
30.75%
X
32.46%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
36.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
2.55
+0.85
1.37
2.61
+1.24
xG dominance was balanced (2.55 – 2.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
The final score was Charlotte 6–1 New York Red Bulls.
What did the model predict before Charlotte vs New York Red Bulls?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Charlotte win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an New York Red Bulls win.