FA Cup
· Semi-finals
April 26, 2026 16:00
E. Fernandez
(ast. P. Neto)
23'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leeds a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Chelsea 32%). The final result was Chelsea 1–0 Leeds. In 2 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Leeds.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
8
2
Shots on target
3
3
Saves
1
55%
Possession
45%
6
Corners
4
21
Tackles
19
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
⚽E. Fernandez
· ast. P. Neto
23'
46'
J. Rodon
/
J. Justin
46'
A. Stach
/
J. Bijol
M. Caicedo
60'
R. Lavia
/ Andrey Santos
66'
A. Garnacho
/ C. Palmer
71'
74'
L. Nmecha
/
A. Tanaka
74'
W. Gnonto
/
N. Okafor
76'
P. Struijk
C. Palmer
77'
78'
E. Ampadu
84'
L. Nmecha
86'
S. Longstaff
/
B. Aaronson
90'+4
J. Bogle
P. Neto
90'+4
Joao Pedro
/ L. Delap
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
32.47%
Chelsea ←
25.53%
X
41.99%
Leeds
we assigned to the actual result (Chelsea)
32.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.11
—
—
1.53
—
—
Lineups
1
R. Sanchez
G
3
Marc Cucurella
D
4
T. Adarabioyo
D
23
D
27
Malo Gusto
D
25
M. Caicedo
M
M. Caicedo
M
45
R. Lavia
66'
M
49
A. Garnacho
71'
M
8
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
E. Fernández
1 ⚽
M
7
Pedro Neto
1 👟
M
20
João Pedro
F
João Pedro
F
Bench
17
Andrey Santos
32'
M
10
C. Palmer
27'
M
C. Palmer
27'
M
14
Dário Essugo
M
55
J. Derry
F
21
J. Hato
D
9
L. Delap
F
29
Wesley Fofana
D
1
G
5
Pascal Struijk
D
Pascal Struijk
D
15
Jaka Bijol
45'
D
Jaka Bijol
45'
D
24
James Justin
45'
D
James Justin
45'
D
3
G. Gudmundsson
M
22
Ao Tanaka
74'
M
Ao Tanaka
74'
M
4
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
2
Jayden Bogle
M
19
Noah Okafor
74'
F
11
B. Aaronson
86'
F
B. Aaronson
86'
F
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
D. Calvert-Lewin
F
Bench
18
Anton Stach
53'
M
Anton Stach
53'
M
6
Joe Rodon
53'
D
Joe Rodon
53'
D
14
Lukas Nmecha
24'
F
Lukas Nmecha
24'
F
8
Sean Longstaff
12'
M
Sean Longstaff
12'
M
Best on the pitch
E. Fernández
M · Chelsea
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 59 pass
E. Ampadu
M · Leeds
7.70
· 55 pass
R. Sanchez
G · Chelsea
7.70
· 34 pass
T. Adarabioyo
D · Chelsea
7.30
· 63 pass
B. Aaronson
F · Leeds
7.20
1 shots
· 17 pass
G. Gudmundsson
M · Leeds
7.20
· 25 pass
Chelsea — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sanchez | G | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Adarabioyo | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 54% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 42% | 1 | — | — | |
| Malo Gusto | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Caicedo | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 60% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Lavia | M | 66 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| A. Garnacho | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Fernández | M | 98 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 59 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| João Pedro | F | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Andrey Santos | M | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Palmer | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
Leeds — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Pascal Struijk | D | 98 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 73 | 61% | — | 1 | — |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| James Justin | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| G. Gudmundsson | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jayden Bogle | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Noah Okafor | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Aaronson | F | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Calvert-Lewin | F | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Anton Stach | M | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Joe Rodon | D | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Leeds?
The final score was Chelsea 1–0 Leeds.
What did the model predict before Chelsea vs Leeds?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Chelsea win, 25% to a draw, and 41% to an Leeds win.