← League Two
#18 · 52 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#17 · 53 pts
Model correct — prediction Cheltenham
I. Hutchinson (ast. L. Young) 63'
M. Faal 90'+5
18' (ast. S. Vokes) R. Hale

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cheltenham a 60% win probability (draw 23%, Gillingham 16%). The final result was Cheltenham 2–1 Gillingham. In 1 previous meetings, Cheltenham have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gillingham.

Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
5
4
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
18'
ast. S. Vokes · R. Hale
J. Davison / M. Faal
59'
J. Bickerstaff / R. Broom
59'
A. Jude-Boyd / G. Nurse
59'
I. Hutchinson · ast. L. Young
63'
68'
N. Khumbeni / C. Masterson
M. Faal
74'
77'
J. Andrews / R. Hale
77'
G. McCleary / A. Smith
78'
S. Palmer-Houlden / S. Vokes
90'+4
J. Williams / B. Dack
J. Thomas / G. Miller
90'+4
M. Faal
90'+5
H. Ashfield / J. Martin
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
60.22%
Cheltenham ←
23.35%
X
16.42%
Gillingham
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Cheltenham) 60.22% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cheltenham
1.72
Gillingham
0.71
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Bromley Bromley 46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 46 86
3 Cambridge United Cambridge United 46 82
4 Salford City Salford City 46 81
5 Notts County Notts County 46 80
6 Chesterfield Chesterfield 46 79
7 Grimsby Grimsby 46 78
8 Barnet Barnet 46 76
9 Swindon Town Swindon Town 46 75
10 Oldham Oldham 46 68
11 Crewe Crewe 46 67
12 Colchester Colchester 46 66
13 Walsall Walsall 46 65
14 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 46 62
15 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 46 61
16 Accrington ST Accrington ST 46 53
17 Gillingham Gillingham 46 53
18 Cheltenham Cheltenham 46 52
19 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 46 49
20 Newport County Newport County 46 43
21 Tranmere Tranmere 46 41
22 Crawley Town Crawley Town 46 40
23 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 46 39
24 Barrow Barrow 46 36
Lineups
Cheltenham Cheltenham 4-1-4-1
1
G 7.20
27
D 6.70
5
D 6.60
6
R. Cundy D 6.70
2
A. Jude-Boyd 59' D 6.60
8
L. Young 1 👟 M 7.20
20
J. Bickerstaff 59' M 6.90
23
I. Hutchinson 1 ⚽ M 7.50
4
H. Ashfield 89' M 6.20
11
J. Thomas 89' M 6.20
9
J. Davison 59' F 6.20
Bench
10
G. Miller 1' F
16
J. Martin 1' F
22
M. Faal 1 ⚽ 31' F 7.30
14
R. Broom 31' M 6.60
Gillingham Gillingham 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
3
D 6.60
5
A. Smith 77' D 6.20
30
Sam Gale D 6.70
2
D 6.20
4
C. Masterson 68' M 6.90
8
A. Little M 7.00
14
M 6.50
23
B. Dack 89' M 7.00
19
S. Vokes 1 👟 78' M 6.90
38 Ronan Hale Ronan Hale 1 ⚽ 77' F 7.20
Bench
7
Garath McCleary 13' F 6.70
32
L. Cirino D
27
Nelson Khumbeni 22' M 6.20
12
S. Palmer-Houlden 12' F 6.30
Best on the pitch
I. Hutchinson
M · Cheltenham
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 45 pass
M. Faal
F · Cheltenham
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
G · Cheltenham
7.20
· 38 pass
L. Young
M · Cheltenham
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 43 pass
Ronan Hale
Ronan Hale
F · Gillingham
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
B. Dack
M · Gillingham
7.00
2 shots · 31 pass
Cheltenham Cheltenham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.20 38 23%
D 90 6.70 54 43% 1
D 90 6.60 53 43% 1
R. Cundy D 90 6.70 38 34%
A. Jude-Boyd D 59 6.60 16 11% 1
L. Young M 90 7.20 1 1 43 31% 3
J. Bickerstaff M 59 6.90 1 7 4%
I. Hutchinson M 90 7.50 1 1 45 31%
H. Ashfield M 89 6.20 38 30% 1
J. Thomas M 89 6.20 12 4% 2
J. Davison F 59 6.20 19 15%
G. Miller F 1
J. Martin F 1 1 1%
M. Faal F 31 7.30 1 1 5 4% 1 1
R. Broom M 31 6.60 13 9% 1
Gillingham Gillingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 42 18%
D 90 6.60 40 32% 1
A. Smith D 77 6.20 2 20 15% 1
Sam Gale D 90 6.70 27 22% 1
D 90 6.20 1 24 17% 1
C. Masterson M 68 6.90 12 10%
A. Little M 90 7.00 52 44% 2
M 90 6.50 20 13% 2
B. Dack M 89 7.00 2 31 20% 3
S. Vokes M 78 6.90 1 2 22 10% 1
Ronan Hale F 77 7.20 1 2 4 2%
Garath McCleary F 13 6.70 6 5%
Nelson Khumbeni M 22 6.20 1 8 7%
S. Palmer-Houlden F 12 6.30 7 4%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
The final score was Cheltenham 2–1 Gillingham.
What did the model predict before Cheltenham vs Gillingham?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Cheltenham win, 23% to a draw, and 16% to an Gillingham win.