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Chornomorets - Livyi Bereh

Persha Liga May 16, 2026 15:30
Chornomorets
#2 · 58 pts
vs
Livyi Bereh
#3 · 56 pts
Weather at kick-off ☀️ Clear sky 17.2°C 💨 12 km/h · Odesa
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.74%
Win
Chornomorets
23.03%
Draw
30.24%
Win
Livyi Bereh
1.79
Expected xG
1.4

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chornomorets a 46% win probability, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Livyi Bereh. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chornomorets and 1.4 for Livyi Bereh (total 3.2), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.3% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Chornomorets have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Livyi Bereh.

Score Matrix
↕ Chornomorets Livyi Bereh →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.4% 10.3% 7.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.2% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 5.5% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
Recent form
Chornomorets Chornomorets
D Chernihiv 2–2
W Prykarpattia 3–0
L Viktoriya Mykolaivka 4–0
W Probiy Horodenka 1–0
W Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 56%
Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
W UCSA 3–1
W Vorskla Poltava 0–1
W Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1–0
D Nyva Ternopil 0–0
W Metal Kharkiv 3–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 42%
Playing profile
Chornomorets Chornomorets
Attack
38
Defence
74
Form
66
Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
Attack
38
Defence
77
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Chornomorets
1
Draw
0
Livyi Bereh
D 26 Oct 2025 Persha Liga 1–1
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Bukovyna Bukovyna 27 75
2 Chornomorets Chornomorets 27 58
3 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 27 56
4 Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ahrobiznes Volochysk 27 46
5 Inhulets Inhulets 27 42
6 Viktoriya Mykolaivka Viktoriya Mykolaivka 27 36
7 UCSA UCSA 27 33
8 Prykarpattia Prykarpattia 27 32
9 Probiy Horodenka Probiy Horodenka 27 32
10 Yarud Mariupol' Yarud Mariupol' 27 31
11 Nyva Ternopil Nyva Ternopil 27 30
12 Chernihiv Chernihiv 26 30
13 Metal Kharkiv Metal Kharkiv 26 30
14 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 27 27
15 Podillya Khmelnytskyi Podillya Khmelnytskyi 27 19
16 Metalurh Zaporizhya Metalurh Zaporizhya 27 18
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh?
The model gives Chornomorets a 46% win probability, 23% for a draw, and 30% for an Livyi Bereh win.
How many goals are expected in Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh?
Expected goals: Chornomorets 1.8, Livyi Bereh 1.4 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.