Liga MX
· Clausura - 17
April 26, 2026 05:10
✗Model wrong — prediction Club America, result Atlas vince
90'+5
A. Gonzalez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Club America a 65% win probability (draw 23%, Atlas 11%). The final result was Club America 0–1 Atlas. In 1 previous meetings, Club America have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Atlas.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
1.06
Actual xG
0.36
1
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
5
Corners
2
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Raphael Veiga
(missed pen.)
26'
45'+5
R. Schlegel
C. Borja
/ P. Salas
46'
I. Reyes
54'
Raphael Veiga
/ Lima
60'
60'
E. Zaldivar
/
S. Hernandez
E. Sanchez
/ I. Violante
72'
A. Zendejas
/ H. Martin
72'
72'
A. Gonzalez
/
A. Rocha
78'
V. H. Rios De Alba
B. Rodriguez
/ J. Zuniga
87'
88'
M. E. Garcia
/
E. Aguirre
90'+5
A. Gonzalez⚽
Pre-match prediction
65.3%
Club
23.69%
X
11.01%
Atlas ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
11.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.65
1.06
-0.59
0.40
0.36
-0.04
Club America dominated by xG (1.06 vs 0.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
32
M. Vazquez
D
4
S. Caceres
D
3
I. Reyes
D
26
C. Borja
45'
M
13
M
28
É. Sánchez
72'
M
É. Sánchez
72'
M
5
K. Alvarez
M
10
A. Zendejas
72'
F
7
B. Rodriguez
87'
F
23
Raphael Veiga
60'
F
Bench
20
A. Gutiérrez
M
A. Gutiérrez
M
9
H. Martin
18'
F
12
I. Violante
18'
F
19
J. Zuniga
11'
F
45
Lima
30'
M
33
P. Salas
45'
F
17
Rodrigo Dourado
M
12
G
25
Jorge Rodríguez
D
Jorge Rodríguez
D
21
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
Rodrigo Schlegel
D
28
Manuel Capasso
D
Manuel Capasso
D
13
Gaddi Aguirre
D
Gaddi Aguirre
D
26
Aldo Rocha
72'
M
Aldo Rocha
72'
M
199
Sergio Hernandez
60'
M
Sergio Hernandez
60'
M
15
Paulo Ramírez
M
Paulo Ramírez
M
27
Victor Rios
M
Victor Rios
M
11
Diego González
M
Diego González
M
19
Eduardo Aguirre
88'
F
Eduardo Aguirre
88'
F
Bench
58
Arturo González
1 ⚽
18'
F
Arturo González
1 ⚽
18'
F
6
Edgar Zaldívar
30'
M
Edgar Zaldívar
30'
M
251
Luis Gamboa
F
Luis Gamboa
F
Best on the pitch
G · Atlas
7.60
· 26 pass
Arturo González
F · Atlas
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
I. Reyes
D · Club
7.20
1 shots
· 80 pass
M · Club
7.20
· 77 pass
É. Sánchez
M · Club
7.20
· 34 pass
Manuel Capasso
D · Atlas
7.20
· 34 pass
Club America — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| M. Vazquez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Caceres | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Reyes | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 80 | 72% | 3 | 1 | — |
| C. Borja | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 77 | 73% | 2 | — | — | |
| É. Sánchez | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Alvarez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zendejas | F | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 42 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Rodriguez | F | 87 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Raphael Veiga | F | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| H. Martin | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| I. Violante | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Zuniga | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lima | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 38% | — | — | — |
| P. Salas | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Jorge Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Schlegel | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Capasso | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Gaddi Aguirre | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Aldo Rocha | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergio Hernandez | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Victor Rios | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego González | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Aguirre | F | 88 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Arturo González | F | 18 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Edgar Zaldívar | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Club America vs Atlas?
The final score was Club America 0–1 Atlas.
What did the model predict before Club America vs Atlas?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Club America win, 23% to a draw, and 11% to an Atlas win.