Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 1
April 09, 2026 00:00
Manuel Fernández
90'+5
22'
(ast. Nicolás Lodeiro)
Sebastián Coates
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Coquimbo Unido a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Club Nacional 30%). The final result was Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Club Nacional.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
1.85
Actual xG
0.44
0
Saves
6
68%
Possession
32%
11
Corners
7
16
Tackles
18
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. Nicolás Lodeiro ·
Sebastián Coates⚽
45'+2
Tomás Viera
46'
Juan Cruz De los Santos
/
Gonzalo Carneiro
57'
Lucas Rodríguez
Alejandro Camargo
/ Salvador Cordero
60'
Alejandro Azócar
/ Martín Mundaca
60'
61'
Mauricio Vera
/
Nicolás Lodeiro
Benjamín Gazzolo
73'
Nicolás Johansen
/ Lucas Pratto
76'
Benjamín Chandía
/ Pablo Rodríguez
76'
81'
Tomas Veron Lupi
/
Baltasar Barcia
⚽Manuel Fernández
90'+5
Salvador Cordero
90'
90'
Nico López
/
Maximiliano Gómez
90'
Paolo Calione
/
Tomás Viera
Pre-match prediction
36.52%
Coquimbo
32.98%
X ←
30.5%
Club
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.85
+0.87
0.83
0.44
-0.39
Coquimbo Unido dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Diego Sánchez
G
16
D
3
M. Fernández
1 ⚽
D
M. Fernández
1 ⚽
D
2
Benjamín Gazzolo
D
17
F. Salinas
D
F. Salinas
D
7
Sebastián Galani
M
8
A. Camargo
60'
M
11
A. E. Azocar Machuca
60'
M
30
B. Chandia
76'
M
15
C. Zavala
M
C. Zavala
M
9
Nicolás Johansen
76'
F
Bench
5
D. Escobar
D
6
D. Glaby
M
12
L. Pratto
14'
F
18
Pablo Rodríguez
14'
M
14
Salvador Cordero
30'
M
28
S. Cabrera
D
25
Ignacio Suárez
G
32
Tomás Viera
89'
D
2
Agustín Rogel
D
4
Sebastián Coates
1 ⚽
D
77
Nicolás Rodríguez
D
23
L. Rodríguez
M
L. Rodríguez
M
20
Gonzalo Carneiro
45'
M
14
Nicolás Lodeiro
1 👟
61'
M
6
Luciano Boggio
M
30
Baltasar Barcia
81'
M
9
Maximiliano Gómez
89'
F
Bench
10
Agustín Dos Santos
M
34
F. Bais
M
5
J. Pintado
D
19
Juan De los Santos
45'
F
39
Luciano Gonzalez
M
8
Mauricio Vera
29'
M
7
Nicolas Lopez
1'
F
15
Paolo Calione
1'
D
18
Pável Núñez
F
27
Tomas Veron Lupi
9'
F
Best on the pitch
Sebastián Coates
D · Club
8.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
F. Salinas
D · Coquimbo
7.90
· 59 pass
Ignacio Suárez
G · Club
7.90
· 26 pass
Luciano Boggio
M · Club
7.50
· 25 pass
D · Coquimbo
7.30
1 shots
· 41 pass
Benjamín Gazzolo
D · Coquimbo
7.20
· 45 pass
Coquimbo Unido — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Sánchez | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 25% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Fernández | D | 90 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamín Gazzolo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 40% | 3 | 1 | — |
| F. Salinas | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 59 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Galani | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Camargo | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. E. Azocar Machuca | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Chandia | M | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| C. Zavala | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolás Johansen | F | 76 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Pratto | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Salvador Cordero | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
Club Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Suárez | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Viera | D | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Agustín Rogel | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Sebastián Coates | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Carneiro | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Lodeiro | M | 61 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Boggio | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Baltasar Barcia | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Maximiliano Gómez | F | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Juan De los Santos | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Mauricio Vera | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Nicolas Lopez | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Paolo Calione | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomas Veron Lupi | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Coquimbo Unido vs Club Nacional?
The final score was Coquimbo Unido 1–1 Club Nacional.
What did the model predict before Coquimbo Unido vs Club Nacional?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Coquimbo Unido win, 32% to a draw, and 30% to an Club Nacional win.