Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 7
May 02, 2026 23:30
Joao Basso
(ast. Pepe)
21'
90'+3
Caue Santos
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cuiaba a 32% win probability (draw 35%, Criciuma 32%). The final result was Cuiaba 1–1 Criciuma.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
5
0.82
Actual xG
0.69
3
Saves
4
47%
Possession
53%
3
Corners
2
12
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Joao Basso
· ast. Pepe
21'
46'
Jhonata Robert
/
Thiaguinho
46'
Waguininho
/
Nicolas
46'
Willean Lepo
/
Luciano Castan
Eliel
/ Kauan Cristtyan
62'
65'
R. Otero
/
Romarinho
Eric Melo
/ Luis Soares
68'
77'
Caue Santos
/
Marcinho
Pepe
/ Weverson
81'
Rodrigo Rodrigues
/ Vinicius Peixoto
81'
Raylan
/ Nino Paraiba
81'
David Miguel
86'
90'+3
Caue Santos⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.66%
Cuiaba
35.11%
X ←
32.23%
Criciuma
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
35.11%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.68
0.82
+0.14
0.70
0.69
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.82 – 0.69).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
31
G
14
Eric
69'
D
Eric
69'
D
5
Calebe Costa
D
Calebe Costa
D
13
João Basso
1 ⚽
D
João Basso
1 ⚽
D
6
Marlon Lopes
M
Marlon Lopes
M
30
Raul
M
Raul
M
88
David
M
37
Railan
81'
M
Railan
81'
M
8
Pepê
1 👟
81'
F
Pepê
1 👟
81'
F
11
Eliel
62'
F
27
Rodrigo Rodrigues
81'
F
Rodrigo Rodrigues
81'
F
Bench
49
João Araújo
M
João Araújo
M
41
Kauan Cristtyan
34'
F
Kauan Cristtyan
34'
F
53
Weverson
15'
M
Weverson
15'
M
32
G
4
Luciano Castan
45'
D
Luciano Castan
45'
D
34
Bruno Alves
D
Bruno Alves
D
43
Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho
D
Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho
D
22
Marcelo Hermes
M
Marcelo Hermes
M
50
Thiaguinho
45'
M
8
Guilherme Lobo
M
Guilherme Lobo
M
6
Marcinho
77'
M
Marcinho
77'
M
7
Fellipe Mateus
F
Fellipe Mateus
F
11
Romarinho
64'
F
Romarinho
64'
F
9
Nicolas
45'
F
Nicolas
45'
F
Bench
41
Jean Irmer
M
Jean Irmer
M
91
Rómulo Otero
32'
M
Rómulo Otero
32'
M
13
Waguininho
51'
F
Waguininho
51'
F
97
Willean Lepo
51'
D
Willean Lepo
51'
D
Best on the pitch
João Basso
D · Cuiaba
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 50 pass
Pepê
F · Cuiaba
7.70
1 👟
· 25 pass
Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho
D · Criciuma
7.30
1 shots
· 57 pass
Marlon Lopes
M · Cuiaba
7.30
1 shots
· 42 pass
G · Criciuma
7.30
· 23 pass
Marcelo Hermes
M · Criciuma
7.20
· 56 pass
Cuiaba — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Eric | D | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Calebe Costa | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 54% | — | — | — |
| João Basso | D | 96 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Marlon Lopes | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Raul | M | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 54% | — | — | — |
| David | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Railan | M | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Pepê | F | 81 | 7.70 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Eliel | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 81 | 6.50 | — | — | 4 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kauan Cristtyan | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| Weverson | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
Criciuma — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Castan | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Alves | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Ruan Rodrigues Carvalho | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 47% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcelo Hermes | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Thiaguinho | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Lobo | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Fellipe Mateus | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Romarinho | F | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Rómulo Otero | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Waguininho | F | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Willean Lepo | D | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Criciuma?
The final score was Cuiaba 1–1 Criciuma.
What did the model predict before Cuiaba vs Criciuma?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Cuiaba win, 35% to a draw, and 32% to an Criciuma win.