Primera División
· Regular Season - 13
April 28, 2026 00:30
Nicolás Wunsch
(ast. Brian Lozano)
90'+8
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Defensor Sporting a 45% win probability (draw 31%, Progreso 23%). The final result was Defensor Sporting 1–0 Progreso.
Match statistics
Match Events
Francisco Sorondo
14'
26'
Federico García
Juan Pablo Goicochea
32'
36'
Agustin Pinheiro
Francisco Sorondo
/ Valentín Rodríguez
45'
Juan Pablo Goicochea
/ Alan Torterolo
46'
46'
Mauro Martín
/
Facundo Kidd
58'
Matteo Copelotti
60'
Jonathan Dos Santos
/
Facundo de León
Germán Barrios
64'
Facundo Castro
/ Nicolás Medina
65'
70'
Gianfranco Trasante
Germán Barrios
/ Nicolás Wunsch
73'
Nicolás Medina
/ Brian Lozano
73'
75'
Santiago Viera
/
Nahuel López
75'
Diego Sánchez Richieri
/
Matteo Copelotti
Brian Lozano
76'
83'
Juan Rivero
/
Nicolas Fernandez
Alexander Machado
86'
⚽Nicolás Wunsch
· ast. Brian Lozano
90'+8
90'
Jonathan Dos Santos
90'
Andres Mehring
Pre-match prediction
45.03%
Defensor ←
31.19%
X
23.79%
Progreso
we assigned to the actual result (Defensor Sporting)
45.03%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
—
—
0.68
—
—
Lineups
12
G
11
D
26
Brian Montenegro
F
9
Alexander Machado
F
15
Axel Frugone
D
20
Mateo Caballero
D
14
Francisco Sorondo
D
6
Mauricio Amaro
M
77
Facundo Castro
M
5
Germán Barrios
M
97
Juan Pablo Goicochea
F
Bench
22
Alan Torterolo
M
7
Brian Lozano
1 👟
M
30
Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
M
31
Nicolás Medina
M
8
Nicolás Wunsch
1 ⚽
M
17
Valentín Rodríguez
D
1
Andrés Mehring
G
13
Hernan Carroso
D
3
Federico García
D
14
Facundo Kidd
D
16
Gianfranco Trasante
D
17
Facundo de León
M
5
Agustin Pinheiro
M
8
Adrián Colombino
M
29
Nicolas Fernandez
M
11
Nahuel López
F
23
Matteo Copelotti
F
Bench
30
Agustín Codagnone
M
93
Diego Sánchez Richieri
F
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
15
Mauro Martín
D
24
Santiago Viera
M
Defensor Sporting — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Brian Montenegro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Machado | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Frugone | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Caballero | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Sorondo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Amaro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Castro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Germán Barrios | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Goicochea | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Mehring | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hernan Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Kidd | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianfranco Trasante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo de León | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel López | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Copelotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
The final score was Defensor Sporting 1–0 Progreso.
What did the model predict before Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Defensor Sporting win, 31% to a draw, and 23% to an Progreso win.