Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 3
April 29, 2026 02:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Recoleta a 49% win probability (draw 29%, Deportivo Cuenca 21%). The final result was Deportivo Recoleta 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
0.48
Actual xG
0.50
4
Saves
1
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
2
10
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
46'
E. Guevara
/
M. Piedra
46'
D. Gonzalez
/
L. Mancinelli
T. Vidal
/ H. Lopez
56'
J. Noguera
/ B. Ferreira
56'
57'
G. Rivero
60'
P. Boolsen
N. Marotta
63'
P. Rios
/ M. Schupp
72'
A. Franco
/ M. Canete
72'
79'
M. Diaz
/
G. Rivero
79'
M. Klimowicz
/
J. Ordonez
W. Baez
/ D. Mosquera
81'
M. Canete
90'+4
90'+4
I. Mosquera
/
A. Lopez
Pre-match prediction
49.75%
Deportivo
29.06%
X ←
21.19%
Deportivo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
0.48
-0.99
0.81
0.50
-0.31
xG dominance was balanced (0.48 – 0.50).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
18
Pedro Rios
72'
D
Pedro Rios
72'
D
32
L. Monzón
D
L. Monzón
D
5
Nicolás Marotta
D
Nicolás Marotta
D
2
Facundo Echeguren
D
Facundo Echeguren
D
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
56'
M
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
56'
M
6
Jose Espinola
M
Jose Espinola
M
38
J. Franco
72'
M
J. Franco
72'
M
17
W. Báez
81'
M
W. Báez
81'
M
29
A. Wlk
F
A. Wlk
F
24
Thiago Vidal
56'
F
Thiago Vidal
56'
F
Bench
25
Dairon Mosquera
15'
D
Dairon Mosquera
15'
D
8
Fernando Galeano
M
Fernando Galeano
M
19
Héctor López
40'
M
Héctor López
40'
M
3
Luis Cardozo
D
Luis Cardozo
D
20
M. Canete
24'
M
4
M. Pereira
D
31
M. Schupp
24'
M
13
Oscar Toledo
G
Oscar Toledo
G
7
Ronal Dominguez
M
Ronal Dominguez
M
1
Facundo Ferrero
G
Facundo Ferrero
G
53
D
18
Mateo Piedra
45'
D
6
Santiago Postel
D
Santiago Postel
D
28
P. Boolsen
D
P. Boolsen
D
25
A. Lopez
D
43
J. Ordoñez
79'
M
J. Ordoñez
79'
M
8
Edison Vega
M
Edison Vega
M
30
Mateo Maccari
M
Mateo Maccari
M
7
L. Mancinelli
45'
M
11
G. Rivero
79'
F
G. Rivero
79'
F
Bench
20
Bryan García
M
Bryan García
M
49
David González
51'
M
David González
51'
M
23
Eddie Guevara
51'
D
Eddie Guevara
51'
D
2
Ignacio Mosquera
2'
D
Ignacio Mosquera
2'
D
19
Melvin Diaz
17'
F
Melvin Diaz
17'
F
29
M. Klimowicz
17'
F
M. Klimowicz
17'
F
9
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
Nicolás Leguizamón
F
21
Stalin Morocho
D
Stalin Morocho
D
Best on the pitch
G · Deportivo
7.90
· 45 pass
Jose Espinola
M · Deportivo
7.90
3 shots
· 68 pass
Mateo Maccari
M · Deportivo
7.70
1 shots
· 28 pass
G. Rivero
F · Deportivo
7.30
1 shots
· 16 pass
D · Deportivo
7.30
· 25 pass
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
M · Deportivo
7.20
2 shots
· 25 pass
Deportivo Recoleta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Rios | D | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Monzón | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Marotta | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 55 | 48% | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Echeguren | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | M | 56 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Jose Espinola | M | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | 3 | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Franco | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 52 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Báez | M | 81 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Vidal | F | 56 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dairon Mosquera | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Héctor López | M | 40 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Canete | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Schupp | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Deportivo Cuenca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Ferrero | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | 3 | — | — | |
| Mateo Piedra | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Postel | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| P. Boolsen | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Lopez | D | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ordoñez | M | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Edison Vega | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Maccari | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Mancinelli | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Rivero | F | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| David González | M | 51 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Eddie Guevara | D | 51 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Mosquera | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Melvin Diaz | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| M. Klimowicz | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The final score was Deportivo Recoleta 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca.
What did the model predict before Deportivo Recoleta vs Deportivo Cuenca?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Deportivo Recoleta win, 29% to a draw, and 21% to an Deportivo Cuenca win.